Asian market Review 31/12/2007 (Indonesian)

Di hari terakhir di tahun 2007, kita melihat bahwa Hangseng futures adalah satu2nya market yg dibuka untuk kita disini. Hangseng dibuka menguat sedikit seperti yg diperkirakan, dibuka di 27440 dan terus menanjak sampai akhir setengah hari perdagangan hari ini. Hari ini, kita lihat Hangseng naik dengan perlahan tapi pasti setiap menit dan jamnya dan menyentuh harga tertinggi di menit terakhir. Saya tidak masuk market hari ini karena saya sudah dalam mood liburan dan saya masih menunggu BUY saya di 28288. Hangseng bergerak antara 27405-27936 hari ini.

Asian market review 31/12/2007

In the last day of 2007, we saw that only Hangseng futures market open for trading for us. Hangseng opened higher by a bit as expected, opening at 27440 and continue on rising for the rest of the half-day trading. Today's trading saw Hangseng rose steadily each minute and reached its highest peak at the last minute. I did not enter the market today coz I was in holiday mood and I'm still waiting for my BUY at 28288. Hangseng moved between: 27405-27936 today.

Asian market preivew 31/12/2007 (Indonesian)

US markets were closed mixed on Friday. Dow ditutup naik 6.26 pts atu 0.05%, Nasdaq turun 2.33 pts atau 0.09% sedangkan S&P500 naik 2.12 pts atau 0.14%.
Pasar2 di Asia ditutup hari ini menjelang tahun baru, kecuali Hangseng. Emas ada di harga $840an, minyak mentah ada di $94an, JPY di 111an dan Nikkei futures ditutup di 15350 di CME.
Hangseng tetap buka hari ini menjelang pergantian tahun nanti malam. Volume transaksi diperkirakan akan rendah dan mungkin pergerakan harganya pun akan tidak terlalu besar. Hangseng mungkin akan menguat hari ini mungkin untuk membuat hari terakhir perdagangan terlihat sedikit bagus. Perkiraan range harga saya untuk Hangseng: 27400an-27700an.

Asian market preview 31/12/2007

US markets were closed mixed on Friday. Dow was closed higher by 6.26 pts or 0.05%, Nasdaq slipped 2.33 pts or 0.09% while S&P500 rose by 2.12 pts or 0.14%.
Most Asian markets are closed for the day today, except for Hangseng. Gold was at $840ish, Crude oil at $94ish, JPY at 111ish and Nikkei futures closed at 15350 in CME.
Hangseng was the only market open for trading today. Trading volumes are expected to be thin and there'll be very small trading range. It might rose though to close the year and make the market look better. My price range for Hangseng today would be: 27400ish-27700ish.

Asian market review 28/12/2007 (Indonesian)

Seperti yg diperkirakan pasar2 di Asia dibuka melemah seiring dengan pelemahan di bursa AS semalam setelah data perekonomian yg lemah yg keluar dari AS dan juga pembunuhan PM Pakistan, Benazir Bhutto. Nikkei dibuka di 15455, Kospi di 243.40 dan Hangseng kontrak lama dibuka di 27501 sedangkan kontrak yg baru dibuka 27584.
Kospi dibuka melemah tapi tidak selemah yg saya perkirakan di 243.40. Sesi pertama dibuka lumayan flat dan sempat turun ke 242an. Saya sempat dapat BUY, sambil ber-experimen dengan meta trader saya yg baru, di harga 244.00 dan saya mendapatkan profit di 245.00. Tapi sayang sekali, Kospi terus naik ke arah 245.75 sebelum jatuh kebawah ke arah 241.90 di 20 menit terakhir perdagangan. Kospi bergerak antara: 241.90-245.75 hari ini di hari terakhir perdagangan untuk 2007.
Hangseng dibuka melemah, bahkan lebih lemah dari yg saya antisipasi. Dibuka di 27584 (kontrak baru), saya akan bicara hanya kontrak baru dari sekarang. Sekali lagi, saya menggunakan meta trader baru saya untuk bereksperiment hari ini. Saya mendapatkan BUY di 27400 dan 27495. Saya auto liquid di 27500 dan 27600, yg sebagaimana saya dapat tanpa menunggu lama. Tetapi, Hangseng terus melaju keatas, karena kesal, saya mencoba ambil SELL di 27600 dan saya hrs menunggu hingga sesi 2 untuk mendapatkan profit auto liquid di 27500. Sesi 2 dibuka melemah di 27513 dibandingkan penutupan sesi 1 di 27564. Hangseng terus kebawah kearah 27264 dan akhirnya ditutup di 27300. Hangseng bergerak di kisaran: 27264-27732.

Asian market review 28/12/2007

As expected Asian markets opened weaker following the slump in the US markets overnight after a weaker than expected economic data came out from the US and also the assasination of former Pakistani PM, Benazir Bhutto. Nikkei was opened at 15455, Kospi at 243.40 and Hangseng's old contract at 27501 while new contract opened at 27584.
The Kospi opened weaker but not as weak as I've expected at 243.40. It was pretty flat in early morning trade and it went down to 242ish. I did get a BUY, experimenting with my new online meta trader, at 244.00 and I did get my profit at 245.00 but Kospi went up further after I liquidate my position. It went to as high as 245.75 before plunging down towards 241.90 within the last 20 minutes of trading. Kospi moved between: 241.90-245.75 today on the last trading session for 2007.
Hangseng opened weaker even further than I expected. It opened at 27584 (new contract). I'm only going to discuss new contract coz I'm playing with new contract now. Again I used my new meta trader for experimenting today. I did get a BUY at 27400 and 27495. I auto liquid my position at 27500 and 27600 respectively. However, Hangseng once again defied my and it went up further to 27732. Frustrated, I get a SELL at 27600 and I had to wait until 2nd session before I get my profit when I use the auto liquid feature at 27500. 2nd session opened lower at 27513 than 1st session close at 27564. It went down further towards 27264 and close the day at 27300. Hangseng today moved between: 27264-27732.

Asian market preview 28/12/2007 (Indonesian)

Saham2 di AS jatuh semalam setelah pembunuhan pemimpin oposisi Pakistan, Benazir Bhutto. Situasi politik membuat para investor khawatir dan ditambah oleh kekhawatiran atas perekonomian AS yg tidak menentu. Durable goods order juga menunjukan kalau ekonomi di AS tidak dalam kondisi yg baik, dengan penambahan 0.1% dimana para ekonom memprediksi penambahan 2.2%. Pengangguran juga bertambah 1000 ke 349,000 dimana ekonom memprediksi pengurangan ke angka 340,000. Di berita lainnya, consumer confidence naik ke 88.6 di bulan December, naik dari 87.8 di November. Dow jatuh 192.08 atau 1.42%, Nasdaq jatuh 47.52 pts atau 1.75% dan S&P500 jatuh 21.39 pts atau 1.43%.
Pasar2 Asia mungkin akan jatuh lebih jauh lagi hari ini di hari terakhir perdagangan untuk minggu ini. Minyak mentah naik ke $96.62 per barrel, emas ada di $825an dan JPY ada di 113.80an. Nikkei futures ditutup di 15500 di CME, jatuh dari 15655 di Singapore.
Kospi mungkin akan dibuka melemah hari ini setelah pasar2 di AS jatuh semalam. Kospi mungkin akan dibuka di level 242an dan mungkin akan jatuh ke arah 240an lagi hari ini. Lemahnya data2 dari AS, pembunuhan Benazir Bhutto dan juga profit taking mungkin akan menjadi pemeran utama hari ini. Target pergerakan harga saya untuk Kospi: 239an-246an.
Hangseng mungkin akan dibuka melemah hari ini setelah pasar2 AS jatuh. Hangseng mungkin dibuka di kisaran 27600an dan mungkin akan jatuh lagi dalam sesi perdagangan ke arah 27400an. Target pergerakan harga saya untuk Hangseng hari ini: 27400an-28000an.

Asian market preview 28/12/2007

US stocks fell overnight after the assasination of opposition leader, Benazir Bhutto in Pakistan. More political unrest made investors nervous in addition to mounting economic concerns in the US. Durable goods order also showed that the US economy is in "not so good" condition with a rise of only 0.1% where the economists predicted a 2.2% rise. Unemployment rose 1000 to 349,000 where economists expected the figure would fall to around 340,000. In other news, consumer confidence rose to 88.6 in December from 87.8 in November. Dow tumbled 192.08 or 1.42%, Nasdaq fell 47.62 pts or 1.75% while S&P500 declined 21.39 pts or 1.43%.
Asian market might set to fall further today on the last day of the week. Crude oil rose to $96.62 per barrel, gold at $825ish and JPY at 113.80ish. Nikkei futures settled at 15500 in CME, fall from 15655 in Singapore.
The Kospi may open lower today following the tumble in Wall St overnight. It might fall to below 240 again today. Kospi may be opened at around 242ish region today and may fall further following weak US data, assasination of Benazir Bhutto and also profit taking actions. My price range for Kospi today: 239ish-246ish.
Hangseng may open further lower again today after the fall in US markets. It may open around 27600ish and may fall further during the day to 27400ish level. My price range for Hangseng today: 27400ish-28000ish.

Asian market review 27/12/2007 (Indonesian)

Seperti yg diperkirakan, pasar2 Asia dibuka sedikit menguat tetapi hampir flat dibandingkan penutupan kemarin. Nikkei dibuka di 15695, Kospi di 244.85 dan Hangseng di 28345. Mayoritas bursa2 masih dalam mood liburan dengan trading volume yg kecil dan profit taking masih saja dominan di bursa2 Asia.
Kospi dibuka naik di 244.85 dan menyentuh harga tertingginya di 247.20 dalam waktu 2.5 jam. Saya sendiri mendapatkan kesempatan BUY di 245.15 dan saya hrs menunggu dengan "SABAR" untuk mendapatkan profit saya karena ketika saya ambil itu, Kospi sempat turun ke harga terendah di 243.30 sebelum naik kembali keatas dan menjemput target harga saya. Market Kospi kelihatannya masih kuat untuk kedepan, tapi untuk sekarang, para profit taker adalah pemain utama menjelang akhir tahun ini. Kospi bergerak di kisaran: 243.30-247.20.
Hangseng dibuka menguat di 28345 dan menyentuh harga tertinggi di 28414 dalam hitungan menit. Profit taking juga terlihat terjadi untuk Hangseng dan juga hari terakhir full trading untuk Hangseng futures membuat Hangseng jatuh lagi hari ini. Hangseng turun dan bermain di kisaran 28200an utk sesi 1 dan ditutup di 28214. Sesi 2 dibuka di 28053 dan Hangseng terus turun kebawah dan menyentuh harga terendah di 27784. Hangseng hari ini bergerak di 27784-28414 untuk kontrak Desember dan 27854-28456 untuk kontrak Januari. Hangseng ditutup di 27793 untuk kontrak Desember dan 27866 untuk kontrak Januari.

Asian market review 27/12/2007

As expected, Asian markets opened slightly higher but almost flat from yesterday's closing. Nikkei opened at 15695, Kospi at 244.85 and Hangseng opened at 28345. Most markets are still in holiday mood with thin trading volumes and profit taking are still dominating the markets.
The Kospi opened higher at 244.85 and it reached its highest peak at 247.20 within 2.5 hours of trading. I did get a BUY at 245.15 and I had to wait "patiently" for my profit coz during that time, it went down to its lowest of 243.30 before going back up and fetched my price target. Strong market is still expected for the Kospi but right now, profit takers are the main players towards the end of the year. Kospi today moved between: 243.30-247.20.
Hangseng opened higher at 28345 and it went to touch its highest peak of 28414 within minutes. Profit taking session was in progress for Hangseng market and also, last full trading day for Hangseng futures made Hangseng tumble today. It went back down and play around 28200ish and closed the 1st session at 28214. 2nd session opened at 28053 and it continued to tumble towards its lowest of 27784. Hangseng today moved between 27784-28414 for old December contract and 27854-28456 for new January contract. Hangseng was closed at 27793 for old contract and 27866 for new contract.

Asian market preview 27/12/2007 (Indonesian)

Saham2 di AS kebanyakan turun semalam seiring dengan laporan yg tidak cukup bagus dari pihak2 ritel seperti Target Corp. yg mengatakan bahwa penjualan mereka tidak seperti yg diperkirakan dan juga setelah penurunan harga2 rumah yg cukup signifikan. Dow naik 2.36 pts atau 0.02%, Nasdaq naik 10.91 pts atau 0.40% dan S&P500 naik 1.21 pts atau 0.08%. Pelonjakan harga minyak juga membuat para investor khawatir, minyak naik keatas level $96 per barrel di sesi perdagangan tersebut.
Pasar2 di Asia mungkin akan dibuka flat. JPY di trade di area bawah 114an, minyak mentah ada di $95.97 per barrel, emas naik ke $823an dan Nikkei futures ditutup di 15705 di CME, tidak berbeda jauh dari penutupan 15700 di Singapura dan 15680 di Osaka kemarin.
Kospi mungkin akan dibuka flat dengan kecenderungan menguat sedikit seiring dengan penutupan AS yg tidak menentu. Aksi profit taking mungkin akan dilanjutkan dari kemarin dan volume perdagangan saya perkirakan tidak terlalu banyak. Sektor teknologi, minyak dan pertambangan mungkin akan menarik dan mungkin akan naik hari ini setelah pelonjakan harga minyak dan emas semalam. Target pergerakan harga saya untuk Kospi adalah: 242an-246an.
Hangseng mungkin akan dibuka menguat sedikit setelah 2 hari liburan. Sektor oil dan pertambangan mungkin akan naik setelah kenaikan di harga minyak mentah dan emas semalam. Tetapi, profit taking juga mungkin akan mendominasi pasar seperti pasar2 lain. Target harga pergerakan saya untuk Hangseng adalah: 28000an-28500an.

Asian market preview 27/12/2007

Most US stocks retreated last night following a slower sales at Target Corp. and bigger-than-expected drop in home prices. Dow added 2.36 pts or 0.02%, Nasdaq rose 10.91 pts or 0.40% while S&P500 added 1.21 pts or 0.08%. A jump in oil prices also raised concerns among investors, rose to above $96 per barrel during the session.
Asian stocks might be little change at the open. JPY traded at lower 114ish, crude oil at $95.97 per barrel, gold rose to $823ish and Nikkei futures settled at 15705 in CME, little change from the close of 15700 in Singapore and 15680 in Osaka.
The Kospi might open flat following US close. Further profit taking might take place again today but the trading volumes might be thin again. Tech, oil and mining sector might be interesting to watch as it may gain some more grounds today after a jump in oil and gold prices overnight. My target price range for Kospi would be: 242ish-246ish.
Hangseng might rose but not by much at the open after 2 days holidays. Oil and mining sectors might rise after a jump in crude oil and gold prices overnight. However, profit takers might dominate the market too like any other markets in the region. My target price range for Hangseng would be: 28000ish-28500ish.

Asian market review 26/12/2007 (Indonesian)

Seperti yg diperkirakan, pasar2 Asia dibuka menguat, tapi hanya sedikit, yg menunjukan bahwa pasar2 masih dalam mood liburan dan tidak akan bergerak banyak hari ini. Nikkei dibuka di 15680 dan Kospi dibuka di 244.90. Hangseng masih tutup untuk hari kedua.
Kospi trade di gap yg kecil antara harga terendah dan tertinggi. Kospi dibuka di 244.90 dan menyentuh harga tertinggi di 245.30 dalam hitungan menit. Setelah itu, Kospi main di kisaran 243an-244an untuk sebagian besar hari ini sebelum turun ke 242.80 dekat2 penutupan dan ditutup di 243.90. Banyak investor yg melakukan aksi profit taking dan menutup posisi portofolio mereka untuk tahun ini dan menikmati keuntungan2 yg mereka dapatkan dalam 1 tahun. Kospi di trade antara: 242.80-245.30
Nikkei naik untuk hari ke-4 dengan setelah Toyota menaikkan perkiraan penjualan mereka untuk tahun depan. Tetapi, aksi profit taking juga mendominasi pasar di Jepang hari ini. Mari kita perhatikan bursa2 AS nanti malam untuk melihat ke arah manakah pasar2 Asia akan bergerak menjelang akhir tahun ini.

Asian market review 26/12/2007

As expected Asian market opened stronger but only by a little bit, which showed that market is still in holiday mood and was not going to move much today. Nikkei opened at 15680 and Kospi opened at 244.90. Hangseng is still closed for holidays.
Narrow trading range for Kospi today. Kospi opened at 244.90 and it touched its highest only at 245.30 within minutes of trading. After that, it played between 243ish-244ish for most of the day before going down to 242.80 near the end and closed the day at 243.90. Profit taking must've taken place today with investors closing up their positions towards the end of the year to enjoy the profit they've gotten so far this year. Kospi traded between: 242.80-245.30.
Nikkei rose for 4th straight day with Toyota raised its sales forecast for next year. However, profit takers also dominated the market over in Japan today. Let's see tonight's US market to see what's going to happen next for Asian markets.

Asian market Preview 26/12/2007 (Indonesian)

Pertama2, Merry Christmas 2007 untuk para pembaca blog saya. Pasar2 di AS membukukan kenaikin pada tgl 24 December lalu. Dow menambah 98.68 pts atau 0.73%, Nasdaq naik 21.51 pts atau 0.80% dan S&P500 naik 11.99 pts atau 0.81%. Kenaikin ini dipicu oleh berita bahwa Merrill Lynch akan menerima bantuan investment sebesar $6.2 milliar dari 2 grup (Temasek Holdings dari Singapura dan Davis Selected Advisor dari AS). Sektor retail juga melakukan rally setelah perbelanjaam meningkat menjelang natal.
Pasar2 di Asia mungkin akan memperpanjang rally mereka hari ini. Nikkei adalah satu2nya market yg buka hari natal kemarin dan dia naik 1.75% ke 15670 di Singapore dan 1% atau 15600 di Osaka. Minyak mentah ada di harga $94.13 per barrel, JPY di 114an dan emas ada di $806an. Nikkei futures ditutup di 15660 di CME.
Kospi mungkin akan naik lagi hari ini setelah penutupan yg cukup kuat di AS pada tgl 24 December. Kospi mungkin akan dibuka di kisaran 246an-247an. Jika Kospi masih dibuka dibawah 247, saya rasa masih cukup aman untuk BUY dan dapatkan profit hari ini. Kospi mungkin akan mencoba level 250 hari ini. Target pergerakan harga saya untuk Kospi hari ini: 244an-250an.
Hangseng mungkin akan dibuka menguat hari ini mengikuti trend AS dan Jepang. Hangseng mungkin akan dibuka di kisaran 28500an dan jika dibuka di bawah 28500 atau di area 28500 rendah, saya pikir masih cukup aman untuk BUY dan dapatkan profit hari ini. Hangseng juga mungkin akan mencoba level 29000 hari ini jika para investor masih mau bertaruh banyak di saham dan jika "window dressing" masih terus berlanjut untuk mendorong pasar. Target pergerakan harga saya untuk Hangseng hari ini: 28400an-29000an.

Asian market preview 26/12/2007

Firstly, Merry Christmas 2007 to all my blog readers. US markets posted gains on half day trade on 24th December. Dow added 98.68 pts or 0.73%, Nasdaq rose 21.51 pts or 0.80% while S&P500 added 11.99 or 0.81%. The gains were paced by news that Merrill Lynch will receive an investment of up to $6.2 billion from 2 investments groups (Temasek Holdings of Singapore and US-based Davis Selected Advisor). Retailers also rally after last minute shoppers help boost confidence even by a little bit.
Stocks in Asia might extend gains today. Japanese market was the only one opened on Christmas day, gaining 1.75% to 15670 in Singapore and 1% or 15600 in Osaka. Crude Oil was traded at $94.13 per barrel, JPY at 114ish and gold at $806ish. Nikkei futures closed at 15660 in CME.
The Kospi might rise again today with the strong close on Dow on Christmas eve. It might opened around high 246ish-247ish. If it opened below 247, I think it might still be safe to get a BUY and lock in profit today. Kospi might try the 250ish level again today. My price range for Kospi today would be 244ish-250ish.
Hangseng might opened stronger again today following the strong close on US and Japan. It might opened around 28500ish and if it opened below 28500 or in the lower region of 28500, I think it might still be safe to get a BUY for profit today. Hangseng might also try the 29000 level today if investors' sentiment are still really high and if the window dressing continue to boost the market. My price range for Hangseng today would be: 28400ish-29000ish.

Asian market review 24/12/2007 (Indonesian)

Pasar2 Asia dibuka menguat seperti yg diperkirakan mengikuti penutupan AS yg menguat hari Jumat lalu. Hari ini, volume trading sangat kecil dan kebanyakan market trade di antara gap yg kecil antara harga terendah dan tertinggi mereka. Nikkei libur hari ini, Kospi dibuka di 241.45 dan Hangseng dibuka di 28132.
Seperti yg saya perkirakan, Kospi dibuka diatas dan lebih bagusnya, masih dibawah harga target saya yg saya perkirakan pagi tadi (242.00). Saya mengikuti guide saya dan saya BUY di pagi hari di harga 241.60 dan saya dengan mudah mendapatkan hadiah natal saya dalam waktu 1 jam. Kospi terus melaju dan harga terendah dia ada di 241.30 dan menutup sesi perdagangan di 244.55 setelah menyentuh harga tertinggi di 245.20. Kospi bergerak di kisaran: 241.30-245.20 hari ini.
Hangseng dibuka menguat dan juga masih dibawah target saya 28200 di pagi hari. Saya tidak maruk dan saya hanya menonton Hangseng hari ini karena mereka juga jalan dalam waktu yg sangat singkat antara 10 AM - 12.30 PM (waktu HK). Untuk para day traders yg mengikuti guide saya, mereka juga akan dengan mudah mendapatkan hadiah natal dengan cepat karena Hangseng lari kearah 29313 setelah menyentuh harga terendah di 28065. Hari ini Hangseng bergerak antara: 28065-28313.
Bursa2 Asia akan ditutup besok dalam rangka liburan natal dan Dow Jones akan berjalan setengah hari malam nanti.

Asian market review 24/12/2007

Asian markets opened higher as expected following the strong US close on Friday. Today however, trading volumes are low and most markets trade within small gaps between highs and lows. Nikkei was closed today for holiday, Kospi opened at 241.45 and Hangseng opened at 28132.
As expected, Kospi opened up higher and luckily enough, it's still below the 242 mark I've mentioned in the morning. I did follow my guide and I BUY around open price at 241.60 and I did get my Christmas profit within the hour. Kospi kept on rising and the lowest point it touched was at 241.30 and ended the session at 244.55 after touching 245.20, its highest point. Kospi was traded between: 241.30-245.20 today.
Hangseng opened up higher and it's still below my targeted open price of 28200. I didn't get greedy though and I just sit back and watch Hangseng today as they have a pretty short session between 10 AM - 12.30 PM (HK time). For those day traders who did follow my guide, they should get quite a nice Christmas present too as Hangseng moved up to 28313 after touching its lowest point of 28065. Today's trading session was between: 28065-28313.
Markets are going to be closed tomorrow for Christmas holidays and Dow will be trading half day later on tonight.

Asian market preview 24/12/2007 (Indonesian)

Saham2 di bursa AS melonjak hari Jumat kemarin dipicu oleh perusahaan2 energi. Kenaikan pengeluaran konsumen dan usaha the Fed untuk menyediakan cash untuk bank2 juga membuat para investor berspekulasi bahwa ekonomi tetap akan terus melakukan ekspansi. Dow naik 205.01 pts atau 1.55%, Nasdaq menguat 51.13 pts atau 1.94% sedangkan S&P500 naik 24.34 pts atau 1.67%. Data dari department perdagangan di AS menyatakan kenaikan 1.1% untuk pengeluaran konsumen di bulan November, naik dari 0.4% di Oktober dan melonjak diatas rata2 perkiraan para ekonom.
Pasar2 di Asia mungkin akan dibuka menguat setelah penguatan yg cukup signifikan di AS hari Jumat kemarin.Tetapi, hrs diperhatikan volume perdagangan mungkin akan tipis hari ini disebabkan oleh liburan natal. JPY di trade di 113.90an, emas ada di $809an dan minyak mentah di $93an per barrel. Nikkei futures di CME ditutup pada level 15590 hari Jumat, naik dari penutupan disini di 15400.
Kospi mungkin akan dibuka menguat hari ini mengikuti AS meskipun volume trading mungkin akan kecil dan lambat hari ini. Kospi mungkin akan dibuka di kisaran 242an dan saya merasa jika dibuka dibawah 242, masih merupakan area yg cukup bagus untuk BUY. Target pergerakan saya untuk Kospi hari ini: 240an-243an.
Hangseng mungkin akan bergerak dengan arah yg sama dengan pasar2 Asia lainnya, dibuka menguat dengan volume trading kecil. Hangseng mungkin akan dibuka di 28200an dan jika dibuka dibawah 28200, saya merasa masih merupakan area yg cukup bagus untuk BUY. Hangseng mungkin akan bergerak di kisaran: 28000an-28300an.

Asian market preview 24/12/2007

Stocks in the US soared on Friday led by energy companies. Higher consumer spending and Fed's effort to provide cash to banks also spurred speculation the economy will keep expanding. Dow rose 205.01 pts or 1.55%, Nasdaq soared 51.13 pts or 1.94% while S&P500 up by 24.34 pts or 1.67%. US commerce department reported an increase of 1.1% in consumer spending in November, that's after a 0.4% increase in October and exceeded expectations.
Asian markets may open stronger today after a firm close in the US on Friday. However, please note that trading volumes may be thin due to Christmas holidays. JPY traded at 113.90ish, gold was at $809ish and crude oil at above $93ish per barrel. Nikkei futures on CME was closed at 15590 on Friday, up from the close of 15400 here.

The Kospi might opened stronger today following the US although trading volumes may be small and slow today. Kospi might open around 242ish and I think if it's opened below 242, it's still a good area to get a BUY for today. My target price range for Kospi: 240ish-243ish.
Hangseng might move in a similar fashion as other asian markets, opening stronger today with small trading volumes. Hangseng might opened around 28200ish and if it opened anything below 28200, I think that it's still a good area to get a BUY. Hangseng might move around: 28000ish-28300ish.

Asian market Review 21/12/2007 (Indonesian)

Pasar2 di Asia dibuka naik seperti yg diperkirakan; Nikkei, Kospi dan Hangseng rally dalam seharian ini. Saham2 lari setelah perusahaan2 teknologi dan pertambangan naik karena laporan menyatakan bahwa sektor teknologi tidak terpengaruh oleh perlambatan ekonomi dan juga setelah harga2 metal melonjak semalam. Nikkei dibuka di 15160, Kospi di 234.05 dan Hangseng dibuka di 27122.
Kospi dibuka di 234.05 dan melakukan rally ke 234.80 sebelum terjun kebawah ke arah 231.60 setelah 1.5 jam trading. Setelah itu, segalanya mengarah keatas setelah para investor spekulasi di sektor teknologi & pertambangan. Saya sendiri mendapat kesempatan untuk BUY di pagi hari di harga 234.65 dan saya hrs menunggu cukup lama seblum saya boleh liquid dan dapat profit untuk hari ini. Kospi bergerak di antara: 231.60-239.45.
Hangseng dibuka di 27122 dan terus naik untuk sesi 1. Hangseng naik dan main dia rea 27400an-27500an dan ditutup di 27512 untuk sesi 1. Sesi 2 dibuka di 276-7 dan mengikuti aturan saya, saya BUY di 27646. Saya tidak menunggu terlalu lama untuk liquid dan ambil profit. Hangseng bergerak di kisaran: 27122-27844.
Secara keseluruhan, pasar2 Asia lari hari ini, mungkin disebabkan karena faktor "window dressing" juga yg akhirnya datang menjelang akhir tahun dan juga karena kuatnya sektor teknologi dan melonjaknya harga2 metal di pasar global. Ini adalah hari yg cukup bagus untuk trading untuk 3 pasar besar seperti Nikkei, Kospi dan Hangseng.

Asian market review 21/12/2007

Asian markets opened higher as expected, and Nikkei, Kospi and Hangseng rallied for most of the day. Stocks rally after technology companies said that economic slowdown doesn't affect the tech sector much and also after metal prices rally overnight. Nikkei was opened at 15160, Kospi at 234.05 and Hangseng at 27122.
The Kospi opened at 234.05 and it rallied up to 234.80 before tumbling to its lowest point at 231.60 after about 1.5 hours of trading. After that, it was all uphill after investors speculate on tech & mining sectors. I did get a chance to get a BUY in the morning at 234.65 and I had to wait nervously before I can liquid and get my profit for the day. Kospi moved between: 231.60-239.45.
Hangseng opened at 27122 and it kept rising for most of session 1. It went up and play around 27400ish-27500ish during session 1 and closed at 27512 for 1st session. 2nd session opened at 27607 and I followed my theory and get my BUY at 27646. I didn't wait long to get my profit as the highest point Hangseng touched was 27844. Hangseng moved between: 27122-27844.
Overall, most asian markets rallied today, perhaps some factors are because of the "window dressing" is finally coming towards the end of the year and also knowing that tech sectors don't get affected by credit crisis in the US and mining stocks rally today, it is a good trading session for all 3 markets.

Asian market preview 21/12/2007 (Indonesian)

Pasar2 di AAS menguat untuk hari ke-2 semalam dipicu oleh perusahaan2 computer, setelah Oracle Corp. menunjukan bahwa pengeluaran di sektor teknologi tetap bertahan meskipun ekonomi melambat di AS. Kenaikan juga didorong oleh Nike setelah perusahaan tersebut menyatakan kwartal kedua profit naik dengan meningginya tingkat penjualan di Cina dan Eropa dan juga karena melemahnya dolar. Dow naik 38.37 pts atau 0.3%, Nasdaq terbang 39.85 pts atau 1.5% sedangkan S&P500 naik 7.12 pts atau 0.5%.
Pasar2 di Asia mungkin akan dibuka menguat hari ini seiring dengan kenaikan di AS semalam. Tetapi, dengan Cina menaikan suku bunganya kembali kemarin, kita juga harus melihat bagaimana para investor akan reaksi di beberapa bursa asia seperti Hangseng. JPY ada di kisaran 113an, minyak mentah ada di $91an dan emas dihargai di $795an. Nikkei futures ditutup di 15160 di CME semalam, naik dibandingkan dengan penutupan disini.
Kospi mungkin akan dibuka menguat setelah terjun lagi kemarin. Kospi mungkin akan dibuka di kisaran 234an dan saya merasa area tersebut masih cukup aman untuk BUY. Tetapi, market juga mungkin akan bereaksi dengan kenaikan suku bunga Cina kemarin. Fluktuasi mungkin akan tinggi di market dan hari ini mungkin akan menjadi hari yg cukup baik untuk day trader yg suka berspekulasi. Target harga saya hari ini adalah: 229an-235an.
Hangseng mungkin akan dibuka menguat juga hari ini setelah pasar2 di AS membukukan kenaikan untuk hari ke-2. Hangseng mungkin akan dibuka di kisaran 27100, tapi saya TIDAK merekomendasikan untuk BUY disini. Saya rasa akan lebih baik untuk menunggu dan lihat trend Hangseng hari ini setelah Cina menaikan suku bunga ke tertinggi dalam 9 tahun terakhir ke 7.47% kemarin. Hangseng market mungkin akan terkena efek terbesar dengan kenaikan ini jika para investor menganggap ini buruk. Target harga saya untuk Hangseng hari ini: 26600an-27200an.

Asian market Preview 21/12/2007

US markets rose for 2nd day this week overnight led by computer companies, after Oracle Corp. showed that spending on technology is holding up as the economy slows. Gains were also led by Nike after it said that 2nd quarter profit increased on higher sales in China and Europe and a weaker dollar. Dow rose 38.37 pts or 0.3%, Nasdaq soared 39.85 or 1.5% while S&P500 added 7.12 or 0.5%.
Asian stocks might open higher today following US gains overnight. However, with China lift interest rate yesterday, we have to see how the investors will react in some Asian markets such as Hangseng. JPY traded at 113ish, crude oil at $91ish, gold at $795ish. Nikkei futures closed at 15160 in CME last night, higher than the close here yesterday.
The Kospi might open higher after tumbling again yesterday. It might open around 234ish and I think that's still a good area to get a BUY. However, market might react to China lifting its interest rate yet again yesterday. Fluctuations might be high in the market too and today might be good for day traders who love to speculate. My target price range for today: 229ish-235ish.
Hangseng might open higher too today after US markets posted gains for 2nd day in a row last night. It might open around 27100ish area but I DO NOT recommend BUY here. I think it'd be best to wait and see about the trend of the Hangseng market today to see how investors react with China raised interest rate to 9 year high at 7.47% yesterday. Hangseng market might be the most affected one should investors take it bad. My target price range for today: 26600ish-27200ish.

Asian market review 20/12/2007

Asian markets ended mixed also today with Nikkei dropping towards 15000 level and Kospi dropping again after rising in early morning to 232ish. Hangseng was the only which posted very mild gains today. Nikkei was closed at 15050, Kospi at 232.80 and Hangseng at 27027. Asian markets lack direction as to where to go after the mixed session in the US overnight. Furthermore, it is getting nearer to the holiday christmas season too and investors are liquidating their positions.
The Kospi was opened 1t 237.85 and it rose higher to reach its peak at 238.65 within 30 mins of trading. It then went back down and play around 235ish-236ish. I did get a sell at 238.00 and I liquid when it was at 236ish. If I had known Kospi would get towards 232ish, I would wait longer. The Kospi tumbled in the last 1.5 hours of trading, sheding over 300 pts during that period. Kospi moved today between: 232.05-238.65.
Hangseng opened at 27158 and it didn't move much during the 1st session and closed at 27089. 2nd session was interesting too, it opened at 27057 and it rose to its highest at 27233 before going down to 26950, proving my theory and then closed for the day at 27027. Hangseng moved today between: 26950-27233.

Asian market preview 20/12/2007

US markets ended mixed overnight on credit concerns after Morgan Stanley announced a $9.4 billion writedown and a weakening economy that many believe is heading for a recession. Dow ended 25.20 lower or 0.19% loss, Nasdaq gained 4.98 points or 0.19% while S&P500 lost 1.98 pts or 0.14%.
Asian stocks might move lower again today should investors think that the credit market is really worsening and also the US economy is heading for a recession. JPY is at 113.31ish, gold at $802ish while crude oil at $90ish per barrel. Nikkei futures at CME settled at 15200, up from closing of 15065 yesterday.
The Kospi might gain today after a presidential election and also after a 1 day market holiday yesterday. If it opened around the closing price on Tuesday, it'll be safe enough to BUY I think. However, don't forget that the credit market concerns and recession is still very large in the market, there's no doubt that Kospi might also move lower should the investors don't want to bet too much on stocks. The Kospi might ranged around: 232ish-240ish.
Hangseng might have a slow start today but further strength might happen too. However, credit market concerns and recession concerns might hinder the Hangseng to further strengthening the market. Hangseng might have a volatile session which is an advantage to us day trader and Hangseng's movement might be around: 26600ish-27200ish.

Asian market review 19/12/2007 (Indonesian)

Pasar2 di Asia ditutup mixed hari ini. Kebanyakan saham naik mengikuti trend technical rebound kecuali untuk Nikkei yg jatuh untuk hari ke-6. Nikkei turun disebabkan karena pemerintah menurunkan target pertumbuhan ekonomi Jepang karena kecenderungan melambat. Para investor juga tidak mau terlalu banyak berspekulasi dan bertaruh di saham sebelum laporan keuangan dari perusahaan2 finansial di AS. Nikkei dibuka di 15230 dan naik hanya sampai 15295 sebelum terjun kebawah kearah 15000. Nikkei ditutup di 15085 dan pergerakannya dari: 15000-15295.

Kospi tutup hari ini karena pemilihan presiden.

Hangseng dibuka di 26879 dan mengikuti trend technical rebound kemarin. Hangseng menyentuh level tertinggi di 27266 hanya dalam 100 menit perdagangan. Saya mengikuti saran saya dan saya BUY ketika saya dapat harga 26900. Saya tidak perlu menunggu lama untuk ambil profit saya dan liquid posisi saya untuk mengcover loss saya dari 29898. Hangseng kemudian main di area 27000an-27100an dan sesi 1 ditutup di 27001. Rebound ini setara dengan ekspektasi saya setelah semalam pasar AS melakukan rebound juga. Sesi 2 dibuka di 26987 dan Hangseng terjun kebawah ke 26656 seblum akhirnya sentiment naik menang untuk hari ini dan Hangseng ditutup di 27049 untuk membuktikan teori saya. Pergerakan Hangseng hari ini dari: 26656-27266.

Asian market Review 19/12/2007

Asian market ended mixed today. Most of the stocks rose but Nikkei dropped for the 6th day in a row after the government cut its growth forecast for the Japanese economy. Investors also refrained from making bets on stocks before earnings reports from US financial companies. Nikkei opened at 15230 and rose up only up to 15295 before it went downhill towards the 15000 level. It closed at 15085. Nikkei ranged from: 15000-15295.

The Kospi was closed for holidays for presidential election.

Hangseng was opened at 26879 and it rose to its highest peak within 100 mins of trading at 27266. I followed my guide and BUY at the open when I get 26900. It wasn't long before I got my profit and liquid my position again to cover my losses from 29898. Hangseng then played around 27000ish-27100ish and closed the 1st session at 27001. Hangseng rebound was expected from the gains on Wall St overnight. 2nd session opened lower at 26987 and it went further lower to 26656 before finally closed the day at 27049. My theory was proven again here. Hangseng moved from 26656-27266 today.

Asian market preview 19/12/2007 (Indonesian)

Pasar2 di AS naik semalam dengan spekulasi suntikan dana sebesar $500 milliar ke dalam sistem finansial oleh Central Bank Eropa akan menopang kerusakan yg disebabkan oleh pasar perumahan. Pasar juga naik semalam setelah Goldman Sachs dan Best Buy mengeluarkan kenaikan profit. Tetapi, market tetap khawatir dengan kecenderungan resesi di tahun 2008. Dow naik 65.27 pts atau 0.50%, Nasdaq menguat 21.57 pts atau 0.84% sedangkan S&P500 naik 9.08 pts atau 0.63%.
Pasar Asia mungkin akan melanjutkan kenaikan dari kemarin mengikuti rebound yg terjadi di AS semalam. Tetapi, volume transaksi mungkin akan tipis seiring dengan datangnya musim liburan natal. JPY di trade di 113an, minyak mentah di $90.49an dan emas di trade diatas $801an lagi. Nikkei futures di CME ditutup di 15310, naik dari penutupan 15230 kemarin.

Kospi hari ini ditutup untuk liburan karena pemilihan president.

Hangseng mungkin akan dibuka menguat seiring dengan kenaikan AS semalam. HS mungkin dibuka di kisaran 26850-26900. Jika dibuka di area 26800an atau bagian bawah 26900, saya rasa masih ada peluang besar untuk terus naik dan BUY masih cukup bagus untuk dapat profit. Jika dibuka lebih tinggi, tunggulah saja dan lihat pattern sebelum ambil posisi. Rollercoaster market saya rasa akan mendominasi pasar juga hari ini. Target pergerakan harga saya utk Hangseng hari ini: 26500an-27300an.

Asian market preview 19/12/2007

US markets rose overnight on speculation European Central Bank's $500 billion into the financial system will help the economy withstand a deteriorating housing market. Stock also rose after Goldman Sachs and Best buy posted profit gains. However, the possibility of recession in 2008 kept the market nervous. Dow rose 65.27 pts or 0.50%, Nasdaq climbed 21.57 pts or 0.84% while S&P500 rose 9.08 pts or 0.63%.
Asian markets might continue its rebound from yesterday today following the rebound happened in the US overnight. However, trading volumes might be thin as the Christmas holiday's approaching. JPY is traded back at 113ish, Crude oil at $90.49ish while Gold is traded above $801ish again. Nikkei futures at CME closed at 15310, up from the close of 15230 here yesterday.

Kospi is closed today for national holiday for presidential election.

Hangseng might open higher following US mild gains overnight. It might open up at around 26850-26900. If it opened at around 26800ish or lower part of 26900, I think it's still safe to BUY and get profit. If it opened much higher, it'd be best to wait it out. Big ups and downs might happen in the market today I think. My target price range for Hangseng is: 26500ish-27300ish.

Asian market review 18/12/2007 (Indonesian)

Pasar2 di Asia jatuh lagi hari ini seiring dengan penurunan tajam di AS semalam. Nikkei dibuka di 15065, Kospi di 230.75 dan Hangseng dibuka di 26444. Nikkei menyentuh harga terendah dia dalam hampir setahun terakhir di 15020. Tetapi, Nikkei rebound balik ke atas dan ditutup di 15200.
Kospi dibuka di 230.75 dan dia turun terus kearah 229.30 sebelum dia lari balik ke atas untuk hari ini. Saya dapat kans untuk BUY ketika Kospi di 230.00 di pagi hari dan saya tidak menunggu lama untuk mendapatkan profit saya. Memang benar, hari ini market melakukan technical rebound setelah terjun bebas selama seminggu terakhir, hilang hampir 15.00 pts keseluruhan. Kospi bergerak di antara 229.30-237.20 hari ini.
Hangseng dibuka lebih rendah sedikit dan saya perkirakan karena pasar2 yg lain sudah mulai kembali naik. Hangseng dibuka di 26444 dan naik ke atas dan turun kebawah di beberapa menit awal perdagangan. Hangseng turun sampai 26125 sebelum dia lari balik ke atas dan menyentuh 26985 dan sesi 1 ditutup di 26732. Sesi 2 dibuka di 26645 dan sesi 2 ini cukup menarik karena pasar tetap didorong naik dan membuat Hangseng main diatas di area 26800an sebelum ditutup untuk hari ini di 26724. Hangseng hari ini bergerak di kisaran 26125-26985.

Asian market Review 18/12/2007

Asian markets tumbled again today following US' sharp declines overnight. Nikkei opened at 15065, Kospi opened at 230.75 and Hangseng opened at 26444. Nikkei touched its lowest price yet for almost a year at 15020. However, it rebounded back up to close the day back at 15200.
The Kospi opened at 230.75 and it went down further to 229.30 before it rebounded for most of the day. I took the chance and get a BUY when it touched 230.00 in the morning and I did not wait long to lock in my profit. True enough, the market had a technical rebound today after losing so much for the past week, losing more than 15.00 pts overall. Kospi price ranged from: 229.30-237.20 today.
Hangseng opened only lower by a bit I think because the other markets have began its rebound course. It opened at 26444 and it went up and down for the first few minutes of the session. It went down to as low as 26125 before it went on its rebound course to 26985 and closed at 26732 in 1st session. 2nd session opened at 26645 and it's interesting to see that the market kept pushing upwards to make Hangseng rose up again and play around 26800ish before closing the day at 26724. Hangseng price ranged from: 26125-26985 today.

Asian market preview 18/12/2007 (Indonesian)

Pasar2 di AS turun lebih dari 3% dalam 2 hari terakhir, dipicu oleh kekhawatiran bahwa perekonomian terbesar di dunia melambat. Dow turub 175.65 pts atau 1.29%, Nasdaq turun 61.28 pts atau 2.3% dan S&P500 turun 22.05 pts atau 1.5%. Penurunan juga terjadi karena harga2 komoditas dan minyak turun semua dan menyebabkan saham2 energy dan komoditi turun banyak.
Pasar2 Asia mungkin akan jatuh lagi hari ini seiring dengan penurunan yg cukup besar di Wall St. Minyak mentah turun ke bawah $91 per barrel, emas ada di $793an dan JPY di trade di level 112.50an per US$. Nikkei futures di CME ada di 15045, turun dari penutupan kemarin 15200 disini. Nikkei mungkin akan jatuh lagi ke bawah level 15000 untuk tahun ini.
Kospi mungkin akan jatuh di pembukaan mengikuti jejak pasar AS semalam. Kospi mungkin akan turun kebawah level 230 hari ini. Menurut saya, jika Kospi masih dibuka diatas level 230an, saya masih berani untuk SELL dengan ekspektasi market akan terkoreksi lebih jauh lagi. Saya rasa penurunan sudah cukup banyak dan mungkin akan ada mild rebound di intraday trading jika para investor menilai harga2 saham sudah cukup terkoreksi dalam 2 minggu terakhir ini. Kospi sudah kehilangan lebih dari 10.00 pts dari hari Jumat sendiri. Target pergerakan harga Kospi hari ini: 227an-234an.
Hangseng mungkin akan turun lagi hari ini di pembukaan mengikuti penurunan di AS. Hangseng mungkin akan turun kebawah level 26000 hari ini, tergantung dengan seberapa panik para pelaku pasar dan juga apakah uang2 asing sudah mulai ditarik semua untuk mereka profit taking. Jika dibuka lebih rendah dari harga penutupan kemarin, tunggu saja dulu karena memang kemungkinan besar Hangseng akan jatuh ke bawah 26000, tapi ada kemungkinan juga dia akan melakukan rebound di intraday. Hangseng sendiri sudah kehilangan hampir 1500 pts darai Jumat. Target pergerakan harga Hangseng ada di: 25800an-26800an.

Asian market Preview 18/12/2007

Stocks in the US retreated more than 3% in 2 days following concerns that the world's biggest economy is slowing. Dow Jones retreated 172.65 pts or 1.29%, Nasdaq fell 61.28 pts or 2.3% while S&P500 lost 22.05 pts or 1.5%. Losses were also paced by oil companies such as Exxon and also commodities producers on slumping fuel and metal prices.
Asian stocks might fall again today following the big declines on Wall St. Oil fell again to below $91 per barrel, gold is at $793ish and JPY is traded a 112.50ish per US$. Nikkei futures at CME is closed at 15045 drop from yesterday's close of 15200 over here. Nikkei might fall to below 15000 for the first time this year.
The Kospi might fall again in the open following US markets overnight. Kospi might fall to below the 230 level today. In fact, if Kospi opened above 230ish level today, I would still SELL in expectation that it will fall further. Losses might be limited in intraday trading should there be some good news came out to boost the local market. Kospi has lost more than 10.00 pts since Friday. I'd be expecting mild rebound but negatif sentiment is too big here. My target price range for Kospi today is: 227ish-234ish.
Hangseng might fall again today following the sharp losses in the US. Hangseng might fall to below the 26000 level today depending on how bad and panicky the market over there would be. If most of the foreigners' funds decided to run away, it'd be quite bad for Hangseng. If it opened lower than yesterday's close, just wait it out. Hangseng has lost almost 1500 pts since Friday. Mild rebound is expected in intraday trading. My target price range for Hangseng: 25800ish-26800ish.

Asian market Review 17/12/2007 (Indonesian)

Pasar2 di Asia jatuh lagi hari ini di awal minggu, meneruskan trend bearish dari minggu lalu. Nikkei ditutup di 15200, Kospi ada di 232.95 dan Hangseng ditutup di 26492. penjualan ini disebabkan oleh data ekonomi yg tidak terlalu bagus dari AS sendiri hari Jumat. Angka inflasi lebih tinggi dari yg diperkirakan dan ini menyebabkan menipisnya kans untuk The Fed memangkas suku bunga lagi di pertemuan berikutnya. Para investor juga banyak yg menjual dan keluar dari market untuk masa liburan yg segera tiba.
Kospi dibuka di level 237.80 dan dia naik ke atas sampai 239.80 dalam waktu 2 jam. Setelah itu, Kospi bisa dibilang terjun terus kebawah dengan sedikit kecenderungan untuk naik. Saya tidak main Kospi hari ini karena dia tidak pernah mendekati target high price saya dan target low sayapun ditembus dengan sangat mudahnya yg menunjukan bear market benar2 dominan hari ini. Kospi bergerak di antara: 232.65-239.80.
Hangseng dibuka di 27244 dan dia menyentuh harga tertinggi di 27367 dalam waktu 45 menit. Setelah itu, tekanan penurunan sangat besar hari ini dan ini mendorong Hangseng untuk terus turun. Saya mendapatkan SELL di 27242 untuk 2 lots dan saya mau liquid di target low price saya, tapi karena Hangseng turun dengan sangat cepat, saya menunggu sampai akhirnya dia kebawah 500an point dari harga saya. Profit ini dapat dipakai untuk mengcover saya punya BUY yg sangat tinggi di 29898. Sesi 2 sangat menarik karena dia dibuka lebih rendah di 26791 dibandingkan penutupan sesi 1 di 26932. Hangseng terus turun dan menyentuh harga terendah di 26410 sebelum ditutup di 26492. Hangseng bergerak di kisaran: 26410-27367.

Asian market Review 17/12/2007

Asian markets tumbled today in the start of the week of trading, following last week's bearish trend. Nikkei was closed at 15200, Kospi closed at 232.95 and Hangseng closed at 26492. These equities sell-off were sparked by the not quite so good economic data coming out of the US on Friday. Inflation was higher than expected, which dimmed the chance of further rate cut to be made by the Fed. Investors are also selling ahead of the holiday season and they want to take a breather out of the uncertainties in the market right now.
The Kospi opened at 237.80 and it went up to its peak of 239.80 within 2 hours of trading. After that, it went all downhill till the end of trading session. I did not enter into the market today as I also have some uncertainties regarding the direction of the market. It went up ever so slightly but it never went near my target high price, which indicates a bearish condition for the day, and it break my low price target and even went down further. Kospi was ranged from: 232.65-239.80
Hangseng opened at 27244 and it went to its peak at 27367 within 45 mins of trading. After that, downward pressure was very high today and kept driving the Hangseng lower. I did get a SELL at 27242 for 2 lots and I intended to liquid it when it reached my target low price, however Hangseng went down so fast, I waited for it. 2nd session was very interesting, Hangseng opened lower at 26791 from 1st session close of 26932 and Hangseng went down further to reach its lowest at 26410 and closed for the day at 26492. Hangseng ranged today from: 26410-27367.

Asian market Preview 17/12/2007 (Indonesian)

Pasar2 di AS jatuh kembali hari Jumat karena para investor menilai bahwa the Fed tidak melakukan cukup untuk menghindari resesi, sedangkan inflasi pun kelihatannya naik seiring dengan penurunan suku bunga dari the Fed. Dow turun 178.11 pts atau 1.3%, Nasdaq turun 32.75 pts atau 1.23% dan S&P500 turun 20.46 pts atau 1.37%.
Pasar Asia mungkin akan kembali ditekan seiring dengan penurunan yg cukup signifikan di AS. JPY ada di level 113an per US$, emas di harga $794an dan minyak ada di $91an. Nikkei futures ditutup di 15500, turun sedikit dibandingkan penutupan hari Jumat di 15530.
Kospi mungkin akan dibuka turun mengikuti trend dari AS di pagi hari. Tetapi, dengan penurunan atau koreksi yg sudah lumayan tajam minggu lalu, saya merasakan akan adanya rebound oleh para investor yg mengejar saham2 yg dinilai sudah cukup murah. Target harga saya untuk Kospi hari ini: 235an-242an.
Hangseng kemungkinan akan mengikuti trend pasar2 lainnya dengan dibuka melemah seiring dengan kekhawatiran perekonomian global. Hangseng juga sudah mengalami koreksi yg cukup tajam di 2 minggu terakir dan mungkin para investor akan sudah mulai meng-collect saham2 yg dinilai cukup murah sebelum musim liburan benar2 tiba. Target pergerakan Hangseng saya hari ini: 27000an-27700an.

Asian market Preview 17/12/2007

Markets in the US tumbled on Friday following investors' concerns that the Fed are not doing enough to avoid recession there and also inflation seem to pick up when the Fed lowered interest rate. The Dow tumbled 178.11 or 1.3% lower, Nasdaq down by 32.75 or 1.23% lower while S&P500 was tumbled 20.46 or 1.37% lower.
Asian markets may fall following the US markets sell-off on Friday. JPY is at 113ish per US$, gold priced at $794ish, crude oil at $91ish per barrel while Nikkei futures was closed at 15500, little change from Friday's close over here.
The Kospi may open lower following the US, the biggest export destination for South Korea. However, I feel that a rebound is on the horizon with traders might start to buy cheap stocks, aiming for the ones which tumbled the most last week. My target price range for Kospi today: 235ish-242ish.
Hangseng might open lower also following the triple digits lost for the Dow. Hangseng markets also have tumbled so much in the past week, and cheap stocks might be collected again by investors who want to speculate. My target price range for Hangseng today: 27000ish-27700ish.

Asian market review 14/12/2007 (Indonesian)

Pasar2 di Asia dibuka sedikit menguat hari ini dibandingkan penutupan kemarin. Nikkei dibuka di 15625, Kospi di 243.10 dan Hangseng di 27753. Tetapi, penguatan tersebut tidak berlangsung sampai akhir perdagangan. Nikkei naik ke harga tertinggi di 15730 di pagi hari sebelum akhirnya jatuh ke 15500an dan di trading tambahan, Nikkei jatuh lebih dalam lagi ke 15455 dan ditutup di 15465.
Kospi dibuka di 243.10 dan naik ke 244.70 dalam hitungan menit. Saya mengikuti saran saya dan menunggu giliran saya dan saya mendapatkan SELL di 243.85. Saya tunggu sebentar dan mendapatkan profit yg saya inginkan di jam yg sama. Kospi jatuh lebih dalam lagi ke 238.00 dan ditutup di 239.95. Kospi bergerak di kisaran: 238.00-244.70.
Hangseng dibuka di 27753 dan naik ke arah 27852. Hangseng turun ke arah 27400an dan main di kisaran 27400an-27600an dan sesi 1 ditutup di 27446. Sesi 2 dibuka naik di 27479 dan seperti biasa, mengikuti pattern sesi 2, Hangseng naik ke harga tertinggi di 27767. Di akhir perdagangan, Hangseng turun kembali dan ditutup di 27585 untuk hari ini. Hangseng bergerak di kisaran: 27213-27852.
Semua faktor mendukung penurunan market Asia hari ini. Dari kekhawatiran tentang credit market yg makin parah, sampai harga2 metal dan minyak mentah yg tidak menentu, akhirnya membuat para investor untuk tunggu di pinggir untuk masa liburan kali ini. Pergerakan market hari ini bisa dibilang bagus karena fluktuasi dan pergerakan market dapat dilihat dengan jelas khususnya untuk para day traders.

Asian market Review 14/12/2007

Asian markets were opened a little bit stronger than previous day's close. Nikkei was opened at 15625, Kospi at 243.10 and Hangseng was at 27753. However, the early market strength did not last till the end of the day. Nikkei rose to its highest at 15730 before plunging down towards 15500ish and in the after market trading, it fell further to 15455 and close the day at 15465.
The Kospi opened at 243.10 and it rose up to 244.70 within minutes. However, I followed my guide and waited for my chance and I got my SELL at 243.85. I waited for a bit and locked in my profit within the hour. The Kospi fell down further to 238 and close the day at 239.95. Kospi ranged from: 238.00-244.70.
Hangseng opened at 27753 and it rose further to 27852. It played around 27400ish and 27600ish and closed the 1st session at 27446. 2nd session, Hangseng was opened at 27479 and as usual following its pattern, it rose to its 2nd session highest at 27767. It went back down and close the day at 27585. Hangseng ranged from: 27213-27852.
Everything pointed and supported the Asian market lower. From the concern regarding central banks decision to add liquidity to the market till the declining metal prices to the high crude oil which made investors throw in the towel and wait on the sidelines this holiday season. Overall, the markets today was pretty good especially for those day traders as the fluctuation in the markets are very clear and obvious.

Asian market preview 14/12/2007 (Indonesian)

Pasar2 di AS ditutup tercampur aduk semalam karena para investor merasa pesimistis dengan bank2 central untuk menambah dana di finansial sistem akan gagal untuk membantu credit markets. Dow naik 44.06 atau 0.3%, S&P500 naik 1.82 atau 0.1% sedangkan Nasdaq jatuh 2.65 atau 0.1%. Pasar masih relatif lemah dengan 3 saham jatuh untuk tiap 2 saham yg naik.
Pasar2 Asia mungkin akan mengalami pergerakan rollercoaster lagi hari ini. Yen dihargai 112.30an per US$, emas ada di $797an dan minyak mentah ada di $92.40an per barrel. Nikkei futures di CME ditutup di 15520, turun sedikit dibandingkan penutupan kemarin di 15545.
Kospi mungkin akan jatuh sedikit lagi hari ini sebelum melakukan rebound. Rebound akan terjadi menurut saya karena Kospi sudah turun cukup banyak. Jika market dibuka masih diatas level penutupan atau masih di kisaran harga penutupan, saya masih berani untuk SELL tapi hanya untuk 50 points karena tidak safe. BUY sangat bagus ketika Kospi menyentuh level 240an atau lebih rendah. Target pergerakan harga Kospi saya: 239an-246an.
Hangseng mungkin akan rebound hari ini setelah turun banyak di 3 hari belakangan. Tetapi, penurunan mungkin masih akan terjadi walaupun sedikit. Level terendahnya mungkin akan ada di 27300an tapi itu akan menjadi level yg cukup bagus untuk BUY. Saya merekomendasikan untuk tunggu saja dulu utk Hangseng dan lihat arah pergerakan market atau tunggu sampai sesi 2. Target pergerakan harga Hangseng saya: 27300an-28000an.

Asian market Preview 14/12/2007

US stock markets end mixed last night over skepticism regarding central banks plan to add liquidity to the global financial system will fail to help relieve gridlock in credit markets. The Dow increased 44.06 or 0.3%, S&P500 added 1.82 or 0.1% while Nasdaq fell 2.65 or 0.1%. Overall markets are still weak with about 3 stocks rose for every 2 that fell.
Asian markets might set to get another rollercoaster ride today. Yen is traded at 112.30ish per US$, gold at $797ish and oil at $92.40ish per barrel. Nikkei futures settled at 15520 in CME, lose a little bit of ground from yesterday's close here at 15545.
The Kospi might rebound today after falling for the past 3 sessions. However, it might touch the 240 level or even below. I would recommend a wait and see here to see where the market is really going. If you want to SELL, anything above yesterday's level is quite good still but I recommend to take small profit in the 50ish points range. A good chance to BUY is when it is around 240 or below. My target range for Kospi today: 239ish-246ish.
Hangseng might rebound today after losing so much ground for the past 3 days. However, a fall might happen too before the rebound. Hangseng might touch 27300ish as its lowest and I think it's a good chance to BUY at that level. A good SELL is when Hangseng open near yesterday's closing price or higher. I think it's only good to SELL at or near the open and take quick profit. My target price range for Hangseng today: 27300ish-28000ish.

Asian market Review 13/12/2007

Asian market tumbled today on concern that the central banks decision to add liquidity to the global financial system indicates that the credit market conditions are worsening. The new Nikkei futures contract closed the day at 15545 or down 2.29%, Kospi closed at 241.40 or down 2.12% and Hangseng closed at 27584 or down 3.27%.
Kospi was opened lower than I anticipated today, but I did follow my own guide this morning and get an early BUY. I had to wait about 2 hour to lock in my profit though and I didn't play again since I was surrounded by uncertainties. It tumbled down around midday and touched its lowest at 241.15 and close the day at 241.40.
Hangseng too opened lower than I anticipated, and for those day traders who followed my guide, and BUY, you can get about 150ish points within 30 minutes of trading before the market tumbled. I did get my chance in 2nd session following my theory when 2nd session opened lower than 1st session at 28007 compared to 28242. I SELL 2 lots to cover for my BUY at 29898 and I did liquid after I get enough profit to cover some of my losses at around 27600ish. The lowest Hangseng touched was at 27546 and closed the day at 27584.

Asian market preview 13/12/2007 (Indonesian)

Pasar di AS naik semalam setelah turun sehari sebelumnya turun lebih dari 2%. Kenaikan ini disebabkan oleh keputusan the Fed dan beberapa central bank lainnya untuk menyuntik dana gabungan dalam pergerakan kerjasama perekonomian internasional setelah Sept 11 Terrorist attacks. Pasar2 di AS naik lebih dari 2% di pembukaan setelah mendengar kabar tentang penyuntikan dana tambahan tapi menyerahkan sebagian besar kenaikan2 tersebut setelah Wachovia Corp dan Bank of America mengatakan kerugian karena kredit macet akan semakin mewabah. Dow naik 41.13 atau 0.3%, Nasdaq naik 18.79 atau 0.7% sedangkan S&P500 naik 8.95 atau 0.6%
Pasar2 Asia mungkin akan naik juga mengikuti penguatan yg terjadi di AS semalam. Yen naik ke atas level 112an per US$, emas di harga $813an, minyak mentah di atas $94 lagi semalam dengan spekulasi keputusan bank2 central akan menyebabkan pertumbuhan ekonomi. Nikkei futures ditutup di 15900 di CME beda sedikit dibanding penutupan kemarin di 15885 disini. Hari ini adalah hari terakhir untuk kontrak December untuk Nikkei dan Kospi. Kita hanya dapat likuid posisi kita utk kontrak December dan dapat mulai trading dengan kontrak baru.
Kospi mungkin akan naik hari ini dengan dorongan AS, negara destinasi export terbesar untuk Korsel. Kospi mungkin akan dibuka di kisaran 247an-248an di kontrak baru dan jika Kospi dibuka di kisaran harga penutupan kemarin, saya sarankan untuk BUY bagi day traders yg ingin mendapatkan profit harian. Jika Kospi naik kebanyakan di pembukaan (lebih dari 248), lebih baik kita tunggu dulu saja dan lihat arah pergerakan market akan kemana dalam sejam atau 2 jam. Target pergerakan Kospi saya: 244an-250an.
Hangseng mungkin akan naik dan kenaikannya mungkin akan lebih banyak dibanding Kospi hari ini setelah turun lumayan banyak kemarin. Hangseng mungkin akan dibuka di kisaran 28600 dan di harga ini masih relatif aman untuk day traders melakukan BUY. Jika dibuka lompat naik, tunggu saja dulu dan lebih safe lagi jika menunggu sampai sesi 2. Saya masih tahan BUY saya di 29898 dan target pergerakan Hangseng saya hari ini: 28300an-29000an.

Asian market Preview 13/12/2007

US markets post some gains last night after the Fed, ECB and 3 other central banks inject funds in a biggest act of international economic cooperation since Sept 11 terrorist attack. The US markets soared to as much as 2%+ at the open after hearing the news about the central banks' liquidity boost but surrendered much of their gains after Wachovia Corp. and Bank of America said credit losses will widen. The Dow added 41.13 or 0.3%, Nasdaq rose 18.79 or 0.7% and S&P500 climbed 8.95 or 0.6%.
Asian markets are set to climb today following the US close last night. Yen rose to above 112ish per US$, gold is priced at $813.35, crude oil is traded above $94 per barrel and Nikkei futures in CME closed at 15900, little change from yesterday's close here. Today is the last day for Nikkei and Kospi futures expiring in December and we can only liquid our position for both indexes.
The Kospi might rise today following the move in the US, which is the biggest export destination for South Korea. Kospi might open around 247ish-248ish and if the Kospi opened around yesterday's closing price, it might still be safe to get a BUY and lock in profit within the day, and if Kospi opened higher by quite a margin (above 248ish), it might be safe to just wait and see for market direction within the next hour or 2. My target price range for Kospi today would be: 244ish-250ish.
Hangseng might rise more than Kospi after dropping quite a lot yesterday. Hangseng might open around 28600 and it might still be safe for day traders to get a BUY if it opened around the lower 28600 if you're seeking quick profit. I still have my BUY at 29898 and my target price for Hangseng today is: 28300ish-29000ish.

Asian Market Review 12/12/2007 (Indonesian)

Seperti yg diperkirakan, pasar2 Asia hari ini dibuka melemah seiring dengan pelemahan yg terjadi di AS. Penurunan ini terjadi karena para investor memandang penurunan suku bunga dari the Fed dinilai tidak cukup.
Kospi dibuka di 242.20 dan naik ke arah 244an dalam waktu 1 jam. Untuk para day trader yg mengikuti saran saya, Buka di dekat2 242an hari ini tidak terlalu bagus. Sangatlah dianjurkan untuk wait and see. Sayangnya, Kospi ternyata cukup kuat dan terendah yg dia sentuh hanyalah di 242.10. Kospi melakukan rally di 2 jam terakhir perdagangan dan menyentuh tertingginya di 248.30 sebelum ditutup di 247.45. Saya sendiri hari ini tidak main Kospi karena saya memiliki pertimbangan2 yg tidak saya suka.
Hangseng dibuka di level 28728 dan bergerak ke arah bawah hari ini dan menyentuh level terendah di 28359. Hangseng dibuka lebih kuat daripada antisipasi saya dan saya mengikuti guide saya sendiri untuk SELL pada pembukaan dan lock in profit yang cukup lumayan dalam waktu 2 jam. Setelah itu, saya menonton di pinggiran. Sesi 2 cukup menarik hari ini, Hangseng lompat keatas ampir 300 pts tetapi kecenderungan untuk turun sangat tinggi dan dia kembali turun untuk ditutup di level 28528 untuk hari ini.

Asian market review 12/12/2007

As expected, Asian markets plunged at the open following the drop in US markets overnight. Nikkei opened lower at 15635, Kospi at 242.20 and Hangseng at 28728. The drop was caused by investors' view that the Fed's rate cut is inadequate.
Kospi was opened at 242.20 and it rises up to 244ish within 1hr of trading. For those day traders who followed my advice, anything near 242 is bad today. It's best to just wait and see. Sadly, Kospi was stronger than expected and the lowest it got was at 242.10. Kospi had a rally up in the final 2hr of trading and touched its highest at 248.30 and was closed for the day at 247.45. I myself did not enter today due to some uncertainties I had and just wait on the sidelines.
Hangseng was opened at 28728 and it moved with a downward bias today to touch its lowest at 28359. It opened higher than I anticipated and I did follow my guide and SELL at the open to get my nice profit within 2 hours. After that I stayed on the sidelines for the rest of the day. 2nd session was interesting today, Hangseng jumped almost 300 pts up but then the pressure to go down was high and it moved back down to close the day at 28528.

Asian market preview 12/12/2007 (Indonesian)

Pasar2 di AS jatuh semalam setelah keputusan the Fed untuk menurunkan 25 basis points rate untuk discount dan suku bunga. Dow hilang 294.26 atau 2.1%, Nasdaq turun 66.6 atau 2.5% dan S&P500 hilang 38.31 atau 2.5%. Para investor khawatir bahwa keputusan the Fed tidak cukup untuk mencegah resesi di AS dan mereka mengharapkan keputusan yang lebih aggresif dari the Fed, terutama untuk discount rate antara bank. Pernyataan the Fed juga tidak disambut gembira oleh investor karena the Fed masih menyatakan inflasi masih saja membuat mereka khawatir.
Pasar2 Asia bersiap untuk jatuh cukup jauh pada pembukaan hari ini. Yen ada di kisaran 110an, minyak di trade di $89an dan emas di trade di $796an. Nikkei futures ditutup di 15635, jatuh dari penutupan kemarin di 16105.
Kospi mungkin akan jatuh juga pada pembukaan dan mungkin akan hari ini adalah hari yg baik untuk SELL. Kospi mungkin akan jatuh ke bawah 240an lagi hari ini, tergantung dari seberapa parah para investor bereaksi ke keputusan the Fed. Kospi mungkin akan dibuka di 242an dan jika dibuka diatas 242an, saya rasa masih ada kans untuk SELL dan mendapatkan profit hari ini. Target pergerakan harga hari ini adalah: 238an-246an.
Hangseng mungkin akan mengikuti pasar2 Asia lainnya hari ini dan akan jatuh. Hangseng mungkin akan dibuka di kisaran 28500an-28600an dan mungkin akan jatuh ke kisaran 28000an. Jika Hangseng dibuka diatas 28600an, saya rasa masih cukup aman untuk SELL Hangseng dan ambil profit hari ini untuk day trader. Utk saya, mungkin akan SELL 2 lots untuk mendapatkan profit untuk BUY saya di 29898. Target pergerakan Hangseng saya untuk hari ini adalah: 28000an-28800an.

Asian market Preview 12/12/2007

The US markets tumbled overnight following the Fed's decision of a 25 basis points rate cut for discount rate and Fed funds rate. Dow lost 294.26 or 2.1%, Nasdaq retreated 66.6 or 2.5% and S&P500 lost 38.31 or 2.5%. Investors are concerned that the move made by the Fed are not enough to prevent recession in the US and they are expecting a more aggressive move from the Fed, especially on the discount rate side. The Fed's statement which highlights more concern on inflation rather than the current housing slump condition and recession problems also make investors ran from equities markets.
Asian markets are set to drop significantly in the open today. Yen is traded in the 110ish region per US$, oil traded at $89ish and gold is traded at $796ish. Nikkei futures closed at 15635, dropped from yesterday's close at 16105 here.
The Kospi might fall at the open too and today might be a good day to have a sell. The Kospi might fall to below 240 again today, depending how bad the market is reacting to the Fed's decision. It might opened at around 242ish region and if it opened in the upper region of 242, it's still safe enough to SELL Kospi and get profit by today. My target price range for Kospi today is: 238ish-246ish.
Hangseng might follow other Asian markets and take another plunge today. It might opened at around 28500ish-28600ish and might fall to 28000ish region. If the Hangseng opened in the upper half of 28600, I think it's still safe enough to SELL Hangseng and get profit for day traders. For me, I might SELL 2 lots to get profit to cover my BUY which is at 29898. My target price range for Hangseng today is: 28000ish-28800ish.

Asian market Review 11/12/2007

Pasar2 di Asia dibuka menguat hari ini seperti yg diperkirakan mengikuti jejak penguatan pasar AS semalam. Nikkei dibuka di 16055, Kospi di 246.95 dan Hangseng di 28880. Para investor bertaruh bahwa the Fed akan menurunkan suku bunga AS lagi sedikitnya 25 basis point setelah pertemuan FOMC nanti malam.

Kospi dibuka di 246.95 dan naik sedikit ke 247.35 dan memulai perjalanan naik turun bak rollercoaster. Untuk para day trader yg telah mengikuti data saya, disini sangatlah bijak untuk menunggu saja. Tapi untuk yg berani, disini adalah point yg tepat untuk SELL ketika Kospi di 247an. Saya sendiri menunggu giliran saya untuk BUY dan saya dapat di 246.00. Saya tunggu dan mendapatkan target profit harian saya. Pergerakan Kospi hari ini cukup bagus dan cukup enak diikuti. Kospi bergerak di antara: 244.80-249.05.

Hangseng dibuka di 28880 dan seperti yg diperkirakan, Hangseng hari ini sangatlah kuat, turun hanya sampai 28811 tetapi pergerakan sesi 1 cenderung flat. Sesi 2 terbukti sangat menarik, dibuka hanya 2 points dibawah penutupan sesi 1, yg menandakan tendangan keatas yg akan terjadi. Benar saja, Hangseng lari keatas dalam waktu 15 menit dan dia menyentuh harga tertinggi di 29416 sebelum ditutup di 29407 untuk hari ini. Pergerakan Hangseng hari ini ada di 28811-29416. Saya masih menahan posisi BUY saya dari hari Kamis lalu, masih mengharapkan berita2 baik yg akan keluar. :)

Asian market Review 11/12/2007

Asian markets opened stronger today as expected following a strong US market overnight. Nikkei was opened at 16055, Kospi at 246.95 and Hangseng was opened at 28880. Investors are betting that the Fed will cut interest rate by at least 25 basis point after their meeting concluded later on tonight.
The Kospi opened at 246.95 and it went up a bit to 247.35 and began its rollercoaster ride. For those day traders, who have been following my data, at this point, it is wise to wait it out. Well, for those brave souls, you could actually SELL when Kospi was at around 247ish. I wait for my turn and I did get a BUY when Kospi touched 246.00. I waited it out and I did get my target today as Kospi's movement was quite nice to follow during the day. Kospi price ranged today at: 244.80-249.05
Hangseng opened at 28880 and it is as expected to be very strong, touching only its lowest at 28811 although pretty flat during the 1st session to close at 28915. 2nd session was proved to be a very good session, opened just 2 points below 1st session closing price, indicating a kick upward to be expected, and true enough, Hangseng ran up within 15 minutes of trading in 2nd session and it reached as high as 29416 before closing the day at 29407. Hangseng ranged today at: 28811-29416. I stil hold my BUY from last Thursday hoping for more good news to come. :)

Asian market Preview 11/12/2007 (Indonesian)

Pasar2 di AS menguat semalam, dengan Dow Jones ditutup menguat 101.45 pts atau 0.7%, Nasdaq naik 12.79 atau 0.5% dan S&P500 naik 11.3 atau 0.8%. Banks dan konstruktor adalah pemicu kenaikan ini dan juga data yang menunjukan bahwa penjualan rumah di AS meningkat. Para investor juga masih mengharapkan the Fed untuk memangkas 25 basis points suku bunga minggu ini dan sebagian kecil bahkan menginginkan penurunan 50 basis points suku bunga.
Pasar2 di Asia mungkin akan menguat seiring dengan penguatan yg terjadi di AS. minyak mentah dihargai $89an, emas balik ke $804an dan Yen berada di 111.70an per US$. Nikkei futures di CME ditutup di 16040, diatas penutupan kemarin di 15925. Perusahaan minyak mungkin juga akan menjadi pendorong pasar hari ini.
Kospi hari ini mungkin akan dibuka menguat dan rebound dari pelemahan kemarin. Jika Kospi dibka dibawah 246 atau masih di area 246an bawah, saya rasa masih cukup aman untuk BUY di pagi hari. Jika tidak, kita hanya dapat menunggu dan melihat untuk pergerakan market. Target price harga saya untuk Kospi hari ini: 244an-250an.
Hangseng mungkin akan dibuka menguat juga hari ini dan mungkin akan rebound dari pelemahan selama 2 hari terakhir. Hangseng mungkin akan dibuka di kisaran 28750an dan jika dibuka lebih rendah daripada itu, saya rasa masih cukup aman untuk BUY di pagi hari. Jika tidak, tunggulah saja untuk kesempatan lainnya atau tunggu sampai sesi 2 Hangseng, karena market sekarang2 ini lagi cukup susah untuk diprediksi dikarenakan kekhawatiran2 yg muncul dari market global. Target harga saya untuk Hangseng hari ini: 28500an-29200an.

Asian market Preview 11/12/2007

The US markets gained some ground again last night, with Dow ending 101.45 pts or 0.7% higher, Nasdaq closed at 12.79 or 0.5% higher and S&P500 ending 11.3 or 0.8% higher. Banks and builders were the main driver for the gains, after investors in Singapore and Middle East agreed to inject $11.5 billion into UBS AG and also home sales unexpectedly advanced. Investors are still expecting the Fed to cut 25 basis points interest rate and some minority of investors expect a 50 basis points of rate cut to be made this week.
Asian stock markets might advance following the US gains overnight. Oil priced at $89ish, gold is back at $804ish, Yen is 111.70ish per US$ and Nikkei futures at CME was closed at 16040, higher than the close here at 15925. Oil companies might also drive today's market higher.
The Kospi might opened higher and may rebound from yesterday's losses. If the Kospi opened below 246 or is still in the lower 246ish, I think its safe enough to get a BUY in the morning. If not, then we'll just have to wait and see for a some market movements. My target price range for Kospi today is: 244ish-250ish.
The Hangseng might opened higher too today and may rebound from 2 days of losses. The Hangseng might open around 28750ish and if it opened lower than that, it's still safe to get a BUY in early market trade. If not, it'd be probably best to just wait for another opportunity or just wait for the 2nd session Hangseng. My target price for Hangseng today is: 28500ish-29200ish.

Asian market Review 10/12/2007 (Indonesian)

Pasar2 di Asia dibuka flat seperti yg diperkirakan dengan Nikkei dibuka di 15975, Kospi di 247.70 dan Hangseng di 29011. Tekanan kebawah sudah ada dari pembukaan trading. Banyak trader merasa sedikit kecewa dengan laporan pekerjaan dan payroll yg cukup bagus keluar dari AS hari Jumat lalu, yg mengindikasikan bahwa the Fed mungkin hanya akan memotong 25 basis point rate, dibandingkan dengan 50 basis point yg diperkirakan awal minggu lalu.
Kospi dibuka di 247.70 dan sudah ditekan untuk turun setelah hanya mencapai 248.35 di pagi hari. Saya mau ambil BUY dari pembukaan market, tapi saya tidak mendapatkannya. Saya hanya mendapat BUY setelah 1 jam di harga 245.65 dan saya hrs menunggu kira2 2 jam sebelum saya mendapatkan target saya di harga 247.90. Target saya hanya 100an points dan saya tidak ingin utk berspekulasi hari ini karena masih ada ketidakpastian di sekitar market sekarang ini. Hari ini Kospi bergerak di kisaran: 244.30-249.10 dan secara keseluruhan, market sedang di pressure dengan dorongan kebawah tetapi saya masih optimistis dengan pasar Kospi.
Hangseng dibuka di 29011 hari ini. Pasar ini naik di pagi hari dan menyentuh harga 29243 dalam hitungan menit. Tetapi, seperti pasar Asia lainnya, tekanan kebawah mendorong Hangseng juga, dikarenakan oleh spekluasi para pemain pasar yg mengharapkan potongan rate yg lebih besar dari the Fed dan mereka kecewa karena data yg keluar dari AS hari Jumat cukup bagus dan itu tidak akan membuat the Fed potong rate banyak2. PetroChina juga mendorong Hangseng turun karena harga minyak mentah turun dari level $88 per barrel. Teori sesi 2 saya berhasil lagi hari ini ketika HS ditutup di 29043 sesi 1 dan dibuka di 29015 di sesi 2 dan melanjutkan penurunan hingga menyentuh 28493 dan ditutup pada 28531 di akhir hari. Saya masih memegang BUY saya di 29898 yg saya beli pada hari Kamis. Hangseng hari ini bergerak dari: 28493-29243.

Asian market Review 10/12/2007

Asian market opened pretty flat with Nikkei opened at 15975, Kospi at 247.70 and Hangseng at 29011. Downward bias has already been shown from early market trading. Many traders are a little bit disapppointed by the good job reports which came out of the US on Friday, which indicates that the Fed might only be cutting rate by 25 basis points, instead of 50 basis points as expected earlier last week.
The Kospi opened at 247.70 and it was pressured to go down after only reaching 248.35 in early minutes of trading. I wanted to take BUY from market open, but I didn't get it so, I did get a BUY position at 245.65 after the Kospi has been traded for abt 1hr. I waited for around 2 hours before I liquid my position at 247.90 coz I'm only aiming for a 100 pts profit not more, not less. I didn't want to speculate at this time as there still uncertainties surrounding the market. Price range for Kospi today is: 244.30-249.10 and overall, the market is pressured with downward bias, but I'm still quite optimistic with the Kospi market.
The Hangseng market opened at 29011. It rose up in early market trading and reached 29243 within minutes of trading. However, like other asian markets, downward pressure is pressuring te Hangseng markets too, mainly caused by speculators who expected a larger rate cut by the Fed and were disappointed with better than expected data from the US. PetroChina also lead the drop in Hangseng after the oil price dropped to below $88 per barrel. My 2nd session theory again hold true today when HS closed 1st session at 29043 and opened at 29015 in 2nd session and it continued on downwards to reached its low at 28493 and closed the day at 28531. I still hold my BUY position at 29898 I have since Thursday. Hangseng ranged today from 28493-29243.

Asian market preview 10/12/2007 (Indonesian)

Pasar2 di AS ditutup mixed hari Jumat. Dow ditutup 5.69 pts atau 0.04% naik, Nasdaq ditutup 2.87 pts atau 0.11% turun, S&P500 ditutup 2.68 pts atau 0.18% turun. Kondisi ini setelah data pekerjaan yg cukup baik, kenaikan di harga2 kebutuhan dan juga laporan2 yg menunjukan pelambatan di ekonomi AS. The Fed diperkirakan akan menurunkan 25 basis points di meetingnya minggu ini.
Pasar regional Asia mungkin akan dibuka flat dan mungkin akan melihat arah kemana mereka mau bergerak. Yen ada di 111an per US$, minyak ada di $88an per barrel dan Nikkei futures di 16020 di CME, menunjukan sedikit kenaikan dibanding penutupan Jumat di 15945.
Kospi mungkin akan dibuka di sekitar harga penutupan hari Jumat. Pelemahan mungkin terjadi, tetapi penguatan market mungkin akan lebih dominan hari ini setelah koreksi yg telah dialami Kospi pada Jumat dan spekulasi jika Fed akan menurunkan suku bunga. Saya masih merekomendasikan BUY untuk Kospi, tetapi mungkin akan lebih baik untuk tidak mengambil posisi di pembukaan dan menunggu dulu untuk melihat arah pergerakan market. Target harga saya untuk Kospi hari ini: 245an-250an.
Hangseng mungkin akan dibuka di sekitar 29000an. Market mungkin akan meneruskan pelemahan sedikit dari Jumat, tetapi kecenderungan untuk naik mungkin akan lebih besar karena Hangseng sudah melakukan konsolidasi yg cukup besar dan juga market akan berspekulasi tentang penurunan suku bunga The Fed. Saya masih menahan BUY dari hari Kamis, dan saya akan menunggu untuk index ini. Mungkin akan lebih baik untuk day traders untuk menunggu dan melihat arah kemana market akan bergerak, ketimbang untuk mengambil posisi di pagi hari. Target harga saya untuk Hangseng hari ini: 28700an-29300an.

Asian market Review 10/12/2007

Markets in the US are closed mixed on Friday. Dow closed 5.69 higher or 0.04% up, Nasdaq closed 2.87 pts lower or 0.11% down, S&P500 closed 2.68 pts lower or 0.18% lower. This is after good job data news, a jump in products' costs and reports of slower growth in the US economy. The Fed are expected to cut another 25 basis points during this week meeting.
The Asian market might open flat today and it might be looking for direction and waiting for news. the Yen is traded at 111ish per US$, oil is traded at $88ish per barrel and Nikkei futures traded at 16020 at CME, higher than Friday's close of 15945.
The Kospi might be opened around Friday's closing price but maybe with a slight downside bias before going up and getting stronger on speculation of the Fed's rate cut later this week. I still recommend a BUY for Kospi but I think, it might be best to wait to get position rather than take position at the open. My target price range for Kospi today is: 245ish-250ish.
The Hangseng might be opened around 29000. It might go down a little bit first before going up with Fed's rate cut expectation later this week. I still hold my BUY from Thursday, and I will wait and see for this index. It might be best to wait for market direction rather than take position in early morning. My target price range for today is: 28700ish-29300ish.

Asian market review 07/12/2007 (Indonesian)

Seperti yg diperkirakan, pasar2 di Asia dibuka menguat di pagi hari mengikuti penutupan Dow semalam. Tetapi, pasar2 Asia ditutup mixed dengan Nikkei ditutup menguat ke 15945, Kospi ditutup melemah ke 248.15 dan HangSeng jatuh lebih dari 2% ke 28991.
Kospi ditutup melemah, saya rasa dikarenakan oleh investor2 yg profit taking setelah Kospi naik sampai 252.00. Kospi ada di range 247.35-252.00 hari ini. Kospi dibuka di 251.55 dan lari ke 252.00 dalam hitungan menit. Dia jatuh ke 249an dan main disana sampai siang hari. Di siang hari, dia naik ke 251an lagi sebelum jatuh ke 247.35 dan ditutup di 248.15.
HangSeng jatuh setelah 7 hari naik terus menerus. HS jatuh lebih dari 800 pts daripada penutupan kemarin. HS dibuka di 30074 dan hanya kuat sampa 30086 sebelum jatuh ke kisaran 29800an-30000an selama sesi 1 dan sesi 1 ditutup di 29863. Sesi 2 dibuka di 29716 dan seperti teori yg saya selalu terapkan, HS makin jatuh dan menyentuh 28932 sebelum ditutup di 28991. China mobile adalah salah satu yg menyebabkan HS jatuh dalam dan profit taking dari para investor juga menyebabkan HS jatuh lebih dari 2%. Hangseng bergerak di 28932-30086 hari ini.

Asian Market Review 07/12/2007

As expected, Asian markets are opened stronger in the morning following Dow's strong close overnight. However, the markets ended mixed in Asia with Nikkei closed up slightly to 15945, Kospi ended the day lower to 248.15 and HS dropped to more than 2% to 28991.
The Kospi ended lower, I think mainly caused by some profit taking done by investors after the Kospi rose to as high as 252.00 intraday. Kospi ranged today at 247.35-252.00. It opened at 251.55 and quickly rose to 252.00 within minutes before going down to 249ish. It played around there and reached 251ish again around midday before plunging to 247.35 and closed the day at 248.15.
As for Hangseng, it snapped a seven-day rally and plunged to more than 800 points than yesterday's close. It opened at 30074 and it reached only 30086 and HS played around 29800ish-30000ish during its 1st session to close 1st session at 29863. 2nd session opened at 29716 and my theory is proven once again here as HS keep plunging down to 28932 and close the day at 28991. China Mobile is the main driver for the plunge today and new rules with 2 addition on the HS board, makes investors want to do more profit taking after the market gaining so much in the last week. HS range today is: 28932-30086.

Market Preview 07/12/2007 (Indonesian)

Bursa2 di AS ditutup menguat semalam dengan Dow Jones naik 174.93 pts atau 1.3%. Kenaikin dipicu oleh kenaikin di sektor finansial dan builders, dengan ekspektasi pemerintah akan melimit subprime mortgage dan akan menaikan keuntungan bagi bank dan juga mengurangi resesi di sektor perumahan.
Pasar2 di Asia kelihatan akan menguat lagi hari ini, mengikuti penguatan Dow. Minyak naik ke $90an lagi setelah inventaris di AS turun 8 juta barrel. Yen di trade di harga 111an per US$ dan emas di harga $800an. Nikkei futures ditutup di 16065 di CME, menunjukan bahwa Nikkei mungkin akan ke atas 16000an lagi.
Kospi mungkin akan menguat lagi hari ini dan mungkin akan mencoba level 255an hari ini. Jika Kospi dibuka di 252an ato dibawah, saya masih menganjurkan BUY dan tunggu profit untuk hari ini. Sentiment pasar sangat kuat hari ini, tapi jgn lupakan juga hari ini hari Jumat dan mungkin para investors akan melakukan profit taking lagi jika kenaikan sudah dinilai cukup signifikan. Target harga saya utk hari ini ada kisaran: 250an-256an.
HangSeng hari ini mungkin akan dibuka menguat juga dan mungkin akan balik ke level 30000an lagi. Jika market dibuka dibawah 30000, saya rasa masih cukup aman untuk BUY dan menunggu profit hari ini. Sentiment kuat didorong penguatan bursa2 di AS dan juga kenaikan yg tidak terlalu signifikan kemarin mungkin akan mendorong HS lebih jauh lagi. Target harga saya utk hari ini ada di kisaran: 29700an-30300an.

Asian market preview 07/12/2007

Dow was closed higher again last night, rising 174.93 or 1.3%. The climbs led by financial companies and builders, on expectations a government plan to limit subprime mortgage defaults will boost bank profits and ease the housing slump.
Asian markets are set to open higher again today, following the strong close in the US. Crude oil rises to above $90 again after crude inventories fell 8 million barrels. Yen traded at 111 per US$ and gold is at $800ish. Nikkei futures closed at 16065, which indicates the Nikkei might move above 16000 once again.
The Kospi might open stronger again today following the strong US market. Kospi might try to get through the 255 level today. If Kospi opened at 252ish or below, it might still be safe to get a BUY and wait it through to get profit today. Strong market sentiment are expected but do not forget also that today is Friday and investors might want to continue to profit taking. My target price range for today is: 250ish-256ish.
HangSeng today might open stronger too and it might go back to above 30000 level again today. If it opened below 30000, it might still be safe to get a BUY and wait for good profit today. Strong market sentiment following the US' president's comment and also the good economic conditions in Hong Kong might make the Hangseng stronger today. My target price range for today is: 29700ish-30300ish.

Asian market review 06/12/2007 (Indonesian)

Seperti diperkirakan, market2 Asia dibuka menguat mengikuti jejak Dow Jones semalam. Nikkei dibuka di 15865, Kospi di 251.00 dan HangSeng di 29909. Tetapi, penguatan market tidak dapat dilanjutkan untuk seharian penuh. Salah satu faktor yg menyebabkan ini adalah adanya sentiment profit taking dari para investor yg tidak mau mengambil resiko dan mengambil profit secepatnya di waktu2 yg tidak menentu seperti sekarang.

Untuk para day traders yg dapat harga Kospi dekat pembukaan, anda sangat beruntung! anda akan dapat menikmati 100 pts profit dalam waktu 20 mins saja. Saya sendiri mendapatkan harga 249.90 dan saya ambil profit saya dalam jangka 15+ mins. Setelah itu, Kospi kembali turun dan dia main di level 250-251an sepanjang hari, dan menyentuh level terendah di 249.55. Range Kospi hari ini ada di: 249.55-252.40.

Untuk Hangseng, karena dia buka di 29909 dan untuk para day trader yg mengambil BUY disini, Hangseng tidak melanjutkan rallynya dan hanya menyentuh 29964 hari ini. Saya sendiri ambil posisi HangSeng di 29898 dan pada akhirnya saya tinggalkan posisi saya untuk malam ini. Prediksi saya sangat melenceng untuk Hangseng hari ini karena saya tidak memperkirakan profit taking akan sebegitu hebat hari ini. Pergerakan market besok diperkirakan masih akan lanjut menguat tergantung akan berita2 dari AS nanti malam dan juga performa Dow Jones nanti malam, tetapi sentiment profit taking mungkin masih akan menghantui pasar2 Asia karena besok juga adalah hari Jumat. Pergerakan Hangseng hari ini ada di: 29559-29964.

Asian market Review 06/12/2007

As expected, Asian markets are opened much stronger today following strong Dow close last night. Nikkei was opened higher at 15865, Kospi at 251.00 and HangSeng at 29909. However, the strong starts to the market did not follow through for the rest of the day. Maybe one of the reason is because of some profit taking is in place, where investors locked in some profit and don't want to invest long term in these uncertain times.
For day traders who were able to get Kospi price near the open, rejoice! You can lock in 100 pts profit within 20 mins of trading. I myself get Kospi at 249.90 and I locked in my profit after just 15+ mins. After that short burst upwards, Kospi went back down and it play around 250-251ish for the rest of the day and it reached its low at 249.55. Today's Kospi range at: 249.55-252.40
For Hangseng, as it opened at 29909, for those day traders who BUY at the open, this is so unexpected as it didn't go up very much. HangSeng only went up to 29964. I, myself BUY HS at 29898 at around 10 mins after market open, and I didn't lock in profit, so I have to wait until tomorrow and see where the market is going. My predictions were so very off for HangSeng and I have 1 overnight BUY coz of this. HS price range for today is: 29559-29964.
Strong markets are still expected for tomorrow, depending on the Dow performance tonight, but please be aware of more profit taking for Friday.

Asian market preview 06/12/2007 (Indonesian)

Dow Jones ditutup menguat 196 pts atau 1.48% semalam di level 13444.96. Tanda2 penambahan produktivitas dan laporan tentang pekerjaan memberikan harapan bahwa ekonomi di AS akan menghindari resesi. ADP report menyatakan bahwa perusahaan2 menambahkan 180 ribu lapangan pekerjaaan bulan lalu, lebih banyak daripada perkiraan. Saham2 naik juga karena spekulasi bahwa Fed akan mengambil segala cara untuk memperbaiki "kerusakan" yg disebabkan oleh subprime mortgage.
Pasar2 di Asia mungkin akan dibuka menguat tajam setelah kenaikan triple digits di AS. Yen ada di harga 110an per US$, emas di $795an dan minyak mentah ada di $88an per barrel. Nikkei futures ditutup di 15870 di CME, lebih tinggi daripada penutupan kemaren di 15615 Osaka dan 15695 di Singapore.
Kospi mungkin akan dibuka meningkat tajam hari ini. Kospi mungkin akan dibuka di 251an dan jika Kospi dibuka sekitar 250an atau 251an rendah, ini masih mengindikasikan bahwa market bisa menguat lebih banyak lagi. Tapi jika dibuka lebih tinggi dari 251 atau lebih jauh lagi, tunggu saja waktu yg lebih tepat untuk BUY dan untuk yg berani berspekulasi, SELL pun dapat dilakukan tapi dengan catatan hrs liquid segera setelah dapat profit, karena konsolidasi akan sangan cepat dan market mungkin akan bergerak naik turun dengan cepat. Target harga saya untuk hari ini: 248an-255an.
HangSeng juga mungkin akan dibuka meningkat tajam. HS mungkin akan dibuka di level 30000an dan jika HS dibuka dibawah level 30000, ini masih cukup aman untuk BUY. Jika HS dibuka lebih tinggi lagi, tunggu saja kesempatan berikutnya atau anda dapat SELL untuk spekulasi jika HS mencapai 30200 pada pembukaan. Target harga saya untuk hari ini: 29800an-30600an.

Asian market preview 06/12/2007

Stocks in the US climb overnight with the Dow closing 196 pts higher or 1.48% to close at 13444.96. Signs of increased productivity and report of employment helped suggested that the economy will avoid recession. ADP report showed that companies added 180,000 jobs last month, more than triple the forecast and this prompt economists to raise estimates for government's payroll to be released in 2 days. Stocks also climbed on speculation that the Fed will take measures to stem credit market losses beyond cutting overnight target loan rates between banks.
Asian markets are set to open sharply higher after the triple digits gains on Wall St. Yen is traded at high 110ish per US$, gold at $795ish, crude oil at $88ish per barrel. Nikkei futures closed at 15870 at CME, higher than yesterday's close of 15615 in Osaka and 15695 in Singapore.
The Kospi might also open much higher today. The Kospi might open at 251ish. If the Kospi opened still around 250ish or lower 251ish, it's still in my opinion quite a safe point to BUY. However, if the Kospi opened on the higher end of 251 or even higher, it'd be best to just wait it out and get another chance to buy. It's going to be quite hard to have a sell order today with the very strong market momentum upwards. My target price range for Kospi today is: 248ish-255ish.
For HangSeng, it might also open sharply higher. It might open at 30000ish and if the Hangseng still open below 30000, it's still quite safe in my opinion to BUY. if HS opened higher than that, it'd be best to just wait for another chance or even wait for 2nd session. My target price range for HS today is: 29800ish-30600ish.

Asian market review 05/12/2007 (Indonesian)

Bursa2 Asia hari ini dibuka melemah sedikit mengikuti pergerakan Dow semalam. Nikkei dibuka di 15455, Kospi di 243.25 dan HangSeng di 28962. Nikkei ditutup melemah di sesi 1 di karena tekanan dari bank & sektor finansial. Tetapi, di sesi 2 dia melakukan rally dan ditutup naik hampir 1% di level 15615. Saham2 domestik, retail dan teknologi memicu rally tersebut.
Kospi dibuka di 243.25 dan seperti saya bilang tadi pagi, karena itu ada di level 243 bawah, sangat dianjurkan untuk wait n see ke arah mana market akan bergerak. Saya sendiri mendapat chance BUY di jam 9 ketika pasar HangSeng buka dan ketika Kospi ada di harga 244.50. Saya hanya melakukan hit n run dalam 1 jam dan ambil 120 pts profit. Saya tidak mau mengambil resiko utk menunggu lama karena ketidakstabilan market, tetapi di akhir market, Kospi ditutup lebih tinggi lagi di 247.95 setelah menyentuh 248.90.
Hong Kong HangSeng juga dibuka melemah di 28962 dan dia bermain di 28800an-29000an di sesi 1 setelah menyentuh tertinggi 29132 dan terendah 28757. HS ditutup di 29016 sesi 1. Sesi 2, HS dibuka di 29091 dan saya mengikuti teori sesi 2 HS saya dan BY di harga 29122. Dia rally cepat keatas dan saya sempat lock in profit setelah mendapat 127 pts. Dia lari lagi dan ditutup di level tertinggi di harga 29522. Pasar2 Asia masih dilihat akan menguat besok karena berita2 yg akan keluar di AS malam nanti mungkin akan dapat memperkuat market.

Asian market Review 05/12/2007

Asian markets today were opened slightly lower following Dow lower close last night. Nikkei was opened at 15455, Kospi at 243.25 and HangSeng at 28962. Nikkei closed the 1st session lower due to some pressure from banking & financial stocks. However, it rose in 2nd session and it closed the day higher by almost 1% at 15615. Domestic shares, retails and technology shares led the reversal.
Kospi was opened at 243.25 and like I said in the morning, coz it is in the lower 243 region, it is advisable to just wait and see where the market direction is going. I did get a BUY at 9AM when HangSeng opened and when Kospi was at 244.50. I did a hit 'n run within 1 hr and get 120 pts profit from it. I did not want to wait longer coz of some market uncertainties, but at the end of the day, Kospi was closed much higher at 247.95 after touching its highest peak at 248.90
HangSeng too was opened lower at 28962 and it play around 28800ish-29000ish after touching its early morning high and low of 29132 and 28757 to close the morning session at 29016. 2nd session opened at 29091 and I did follow my theory today and BUY HangSeng to get some more profit. I get BUY at 29122 and it rose up so fast within the hour, but I did not get greedy and lock in another 127 pts profit. It rose further and closed at its peak at 29522.
Looks like Asian markets are heading for another rally tomorrow coz today's news in the US might give some boost to the equity markets.

Asian market preview 05/12/2007 (Indonesian)

Pasar2 di AS ditutup melemah lagi semalam, dengan Dow turun 65 pts atau 0.5% ke 13248.73. Ini disebabkan oleh kekhawatiran bahwa masalah subprime credit akan mengurangi profit untuk 4 sekuritas terbesar di AS, kata JPMorgan. Harga minyak mentah yg turun juga menyebabkan perusahaan seperti Exxon mobil dan Chevron anjlok. Oil turun ke $88an setelah OPEC mengatakan mereka akan diskusikan penambahan produksi di meeting besok. Emas naik ke $800an lagi dan Yen di level 109an per US$. Kans the Fed akan menurunkan suku bunga 50 basis point naik ketika traders bet The Fed akan melakukannya untuk menghindari resesi di AS.
Pasar2 Asia mungkin akan jatuh mengikuti AS akan kekhawatiran tentang perekonomian AS yg semakin tidak menentu. Nikkei futures ditutup di 15415 di CME, turun dibandingkan Osaka di 15465.
Penurunan mungkin akan terjadi untuk Kospi juga setelah dia naik kemarin meskipun AS turun. Karena AS adalah tujuan ekspor terbesar bagi Korea, para trader disana mungkin akan duduk dan menunggu arah kemana masalah credit ini akan membawa mereka. Profit taking juga mungkin akan mendorong Kospi kebawah, tapi hati2 jika trader ingin menaruh harapan mereka untuk the Fed menurunkan suku bunga. Jika Kospi dibuka dekat dengan harga penutupan kemarin atau di daerah 243 atas, saya rasa cukup aman untuk SELL dulu di pagi hari dan mendapatkan profit cepat. Jika tidak, tunggu saja kira2 1 jam-an untuk melihat arah pergerakan market. Target harga saya hari ini: 239an-246an tergantung jika trader mau bertaruh di the Fed.
HangSeng mungkin akan jatuh juga hari ini setelah kemarin ditutup diatas 29000. Kondisi perekonomian AS akan menjadi pemicu di bursa Hong Kong dan traders mungkin akan jual untuk mendapat profit2 di saat2 yg tidak menentu ini. Tapi, pasar HangSeng cukup kuat dan rebound mungkin akan terjadi jika traders percaya Fed akan menurunkan suku bunga lagi. Target harga saya ada di: 28600an-29200an.

Asian market preview 05/12/2007

The Dow closed down again overnight, losing 65 pts or 0.5% to 13248.73. This is mainly caused by concerns on subprime credit crunch which will reduce profits for 4 biggest securities firm said JPMorgan. Lower oil prices also dimmed the earnings outlook for energy companies such as Exxon mobil and Chevron. Oil dropped to $88ish per barrel after OPEC said that they would discuss production increase in tomorrow's meeting. Gold prices rise to above $800 again and the Yen traded at 109ish per US$. The chances for the Fed to lower interest rate by another half percent increased last night as traders bet the Fed will do something to avoid recession in the US.
Asian markets might fall following the concerns and uncertainties in the US following the predicted writedowns for securities firms such as Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley. Nikkei futures closed at 15415 at CME, lower than the close in Osaka at 15465.
Consolidation may take place for Kospi too after it reversed the down trend yesterday to close higher. With the US as its major export destination, traders in South Korea are probably going to sit out on the sidelines waiting for the uncertainties of these credit turmoils. Profit taking may also push the Kospi index lower, but watch out if traders are going to bet on the Fed to lower interest rate by half percentage point. If the Kospi open near yesterday's closing price or still in the high 243ish, I think it's safe to SELL early in the morning and get a fairly quick profit of at least 100 pts. If not, just wait it out for 1hr and see the market's direction. My price target range today is: 239ish-246ish if traders are betting on interest rate cut by the Fed.
HangSeng might also fell today after rising to above 29000 yesterday. US economic concern might cause the traders in Hong Kong to sell and enjoy some quick profit in this time of uncertainties. Energy companies may also fall after crude oil touched 6 weeks low. Rebound may happened if the market fell to low and if traders are going to bet on interest rate cut The Fed are going to make. My price target range today is: 28600ish-29200ish.

Asian Market Review 04/12/2007 (Indonesian)

Dengan melemahnya Dow Jones semalam, start yg pelan diperkirakan terjadi di pasar2 Asia. Nikkei dibuka di 15645, tetapi Kospi dibuka sedikit menguat di 243.05 dan HangSeng dibuka turun di 28515. Kecuali Nikkei, Kospi dan HangSeng langsung lari naik keatas di pagi hari. Kospi naik ke 244.65 hanya kira2 30 mins setelah market buka dan akhirnya turun lagi ke level 242an. Saya mengikuti guide sya di pagi hari dan SELL di 243.00, tetapi saya cepat2 liquid ketika harganya sudah turun dari 244an yg cukup membuat saya berdebar2. Target harga saya tidak terlalu jelek hari ini dengan Kospi menyentuh harga tertinggi di 245.20.
Untuk HangSeng, sayapun mengikuti guide saya dan BUY ketika market buka dengan expektasi market akan mengikuti pergerakan Kospi di pagi hari. Betul juga HangSeng akhirnya lari keatas kearah 29000an hanya dalam 90 mins setelah market buka. Kedua market hari ini naik lumayan meskipun bursa AS ditutup melemah. Ini disebabkan oleh naiknya saham2 steelmakers. Kejadian ini tidak sama di Jepang karena Nikkei takut dengan masalah US subprime yg kembali muncul dan juga masalah resesi yg melanda AS. Nikkei ditutup turun di 15470, KOspi ditutup menguat di 244.05 dan HangSeng ditutup menguat di 29093.