Market Preview Jumat, 18 February 2011
Pasar2 di AS ditutup naik semalam setelah data manufaktur diberitakan positif. Data ekonomi juga menunjukan bahwa ada kenaikan sedikit untuk inflasi dan itu dinilai baik bagi para analis dan investor. Akan tetapi, perekonomian tetap dinilai masih memerlukan stimulus dari The Fed. Keresahan yang terjadi di Timur Tengah mengakibatkan harga minyak yang belum terlalu stabil dan juga harga emas yang terus menanjak.
Nikkei
Nikkei kemarin ditutup naik dan masih terlihat kuat untuk melanjutkan pola bullish dalam jangka menengah. Akan tetapi, tingginya stochastic kemungkinan dapat membawa Nikkei turun sedikit hari ini. Pergerakan dibawah 10900 dapat membawa Nikkei menuju 10800 dan kemudian 10750. Hanya pergerakan diatas level 10900 yang dapat membawa Nikkei bullish menuju 11000. Nikkei mungkin akan bergerak di kisaran 10800an-10900an.
Kospi
Kospi kemarin ditutup turun setelah adanya kecemasan baru tentang situasi dengan Korea Utara. Para pemain asing melepas saham2 kepemilikan mereka karena khawatir akan situasi di Korea. Akan tetapi, sentimen pasar yang kuat dapat menopang pasar dan dapat menghindarkan pasar untuk turun terlalu dalam. Kospi mungkin akan bergerak di kisaran 261an-265an.
Hangseng
Hangseng masih terlihat bullish untuk jangka menengah setelah kenaikan kemarin. Resisten terdekat ada di 23400. Break diatas level tersebut dapat membawa Hangseng naik lagi untuk kedepannya, namun patut diwaspadai juga karena tingginya stochastic juga dapat memicu pergerakan bearish sementara untuk menuju 23200 setelah penembusan keatas 23400. Hangseng mungkin akan bergerak di kisaran 23200an-23400an.
Demikianlah preview dan prediksi saya untuk pasar2 Asia hari ini. Preview dan prediksi ini adalah berdasarkan analisa saya pribadi. Saya tidak bertanggung jawab atas keakuratan data2 diatas. Terima kasih atas waktunya untuk membaca artikel ini.
Happy Trading.
Jumat, 18 Februari 2011
Kamis, 17 Februari 2011
Market Preview Thursday, 17th February 2011 (English)
Market Preview Thursday, 17 February 2011
Strong earnings results and corporate deals helped lift the US markets higher last night, brought them to their highest close since 2008. Reports from the commerce department which said that new home constructions rose at its fastest rate in 20 months also helped lift the mood last night. The Fed revised their inflation target to 1.25% in 2012, indicating that they won't hike interest rates in near term. However, they also said that they will stop the 600 billion dollars bond buying program if the economy is strong enough.
Nikkei
Nikkei closed higher yesterday and today it looks like it can continue its bullish form after the US markets closed higher. The nearest resistance comes in at 10900 and then 11000. If it breaks below 10800, Nikkei may go bearish towards 10700. Nikkei may move between 10800ish-10900ish.
Kospi
Kospi closed lower yesterday after a late day selloff by foreign investors drag the index down. Today, Kospi may open higher and overall, Kospi still looks strong and bullish. Kospi may move between 261ish-265ish.
Hangseng
Hangseng managed to go above 23100 yesterday and in near term, Hangseng looks neutral with near term resistance at 23200. Break above that level may bring Hangseng back to bullish towards 23500. Nearest support is at 23000 and then 22800. Break below that level may bring Hangseng bearish towards 22500. Hangseng may move between 22800ish-23200ish.
Strong earnings results and corporate deals helped lift the US markets higher last night, brought them to their highest close since 2008. Reports from the commerce department which said that new home constructions rose at its fastest rate in 20 months also helped lift the mood last night. The Fed revised their inflation target to 1.25% in 2012, indicating that they won't hike interest rates in near term. However, they also said that they will stop the 600 billion dollars bond buying program if the economy is strong enough.
Nikkei
Nikkei closed higher yesterday and today it looks like it can continue its bullish form after the US markets closed higher. The nearest resistance comes in at 10900 and then 11000. If it breaks below 10800, Nikkei may go bearish towards 10700. Nikkei may move between 10800ish-10900ish.
Kospi
Kospi closed lower yesterday after a late day selloff by foreign investors drag the index down. Today, Kospi may open higher and overall, Kospi still looks strong and bullish. Kospi may move between 261ish-265ish.
Hangseng
Hangseng managed to go above 23100 yesterday and in near term, Hangseng looks neutral with near term resistance at 23200. Break above that level may bring Hangseng back to bullish towards 23500. Nearest support is at 23000 and then 22800. Break below that level may bring Hangseng bearish towards 22500. Hangseng may move between 22800ish-23200ish.
Market Preview Kamis, 17 February 2011
Pasar2 di AS ditutup menguat semalam, kembali mendekati level tingginya lagi. The Fed juga merilis data inflasinya yang direvisi menjadi 1.25% hingga tahun 2012 nanti, dan mengindikasikan bahwa mereka tidak akan menaikkan suku bunga dalam waktu dekat. Mereka juga menyatakan bahwa akan menarik kembali program stimulus 600 miliar dolar jika perekonomian terus menguat, namun untuk sekarang, perekonomian masih terlihat belum terlalu kuat. Pasar juga bereaksi akibat deal dan earnings yang cukup solid.
Nikkei
Nikkei kemarin ditutup menguat dan hari ini kemungkinan dapat melanjutkan penguatannya lagi setelah pasar2 di AS ditutup naik semalam. Resisten Nikkei berikutnya ada di 10900 dan kemudian di 11000. Jika Nikkei break dibawah 10800, patut diwaspadai koreksi bearish menuju 10700. Nikkei mungkin akan bergerak di kisaran 10800an-10900an.
Kospi
Kospi kemarin terkoreksi lagi cukup dalam menjelang penutupan ketika para pemain asing melakukan aksi jual besar2an. Hari ini, Kospi kemungkinan akan dibuka naik dan secara keseluruhan, bias masih terlihat tetap bullish untuk Kospi. Kospi mungkin akan bergerak di kisaran 261an-265an.
Hangseng
Hangseng kemarin berhasil tembus level 23100 dan pergerakan selanjutnya terlihat sedikit sidewaysdengan resisten terdekat ada di 23200. Pergerakan diatas level tersebut dapat membawa Hangseng kembali bullish menuju 23500. Support terdekat ada di 23000 dan kemudian di 22800. Break dibawah itu, dapat membawa Hangseng bearish kembali menuju 22500. Hangseng mungkin akan bergerak di kisaran 22800an-23200an.
Demikianlah preview dan prediksi saya untuk pasar2 asia hari ini. Preview dan prediksi ini adalah berdasarkan analisa saya pribadi. Saya tidak bertanggung jawab atas keakuratan data2 diatas. Terima kasih atas waktunya untuk membaca artikel ini.
Happy Trading.
Pasar2 di AS ditutup menguat semalam, kembali mendekati level tingginya lagi. The Fed juga merilis data inflasinya yang direvisi menjadi 1.25% hingga tahun 2012 nanti, dan mengindikasikan bahwa mereka tidak akan menaikkan suku bunga dalam waktu dekat. Mereka juga menyatakan bahwa akan menarik kembali program stimulus 600 miliar dolar jika perekonomian terus menguat, namun untuk sekarang, perekonomian masih terlihat belum terlalu kuat. Pasar juga bereaksi akibat deal dan earnings yang cukup solid.
Nikkei
Nikkei kemarin ditutup menguat dan hari ini kemungkinan dapat melanjutkan penguatannya lagi setelah pasar2 di AS ditutup naik semalam. Resisten Nikkei berikutnya ada di 10900 dan kemudian di 11000. Jika Nikkei break dibawah 10800, patut diwaspadai koreksi bearish menuju 10700. Nikkei mungkin akan bergerak di kisaran 10800an-10900an.
Kospi
Kospi kemarin terkoreksi lagi cukup dalam menjelang penutupan ketika para pemain asing melakukan aksi jual besar2an. Hari ini, Kospi kemungkinan akan dibuka naik dan secara keseluruhan, bias masih terlihat tetap bullish untuk Kospi. Kospi mungkin akan bergerak di kisaran 261an-265an.
Hangseng
Hangseng kemarin berhasil tembus level 23100 dan pergerakan selanjutnya terlihat sedikit sidewaysdengan resisten terdekat ada di 23200. Pergerakan diatas level tersebut dapat membawa Hangseng kembali bullish menuju 23500. Support terdekat ada di 23000 dan kemudian di 22800. Break dibawah itu, dapat membawa Hangseng bearish kembali menuju 22500. Hangseng mungkin akan bergerak di kisaran 22800an-23200an.
Demikianlah preview dan prediksi saya untuk pasar2 asia hari ini. Preview dan prediksi ini adalah berdasarkan analisa saya pribadi. Saya tidak bertanggung jawab atas keakuratan data2 diatas. Terima kasih atas waktunya untuk membaca artikel ini.
Happy Trading.
Jumat, 03 Juli 2009
Asian market Review 03/07/2009
Nikkei opened down at 9690 on negative US data on jobless and initial claims last night. Jobless rate raise to 9.5% in June and initial claims in US is at 467,000 as reported last night. Investors fret about these bad data and they feel that economy recovery may not be as fast as predicted initially. Analysts said that with more high jobless rate, consumer spending maybe affected too and the US economy is supported mostly by consumer spending. Nikkei quickly shrugged off early morning weakness to rise above 9700 in early trade. Analysts have said that Japan and other Asia countries' economic foundation is better than that in the US. Traders are boosted by program buying led by foreign investors though trading volume remains light ahead of the long weekend in the US. Towards the close, Nikkei gained more and was closed at 9820 at 1.30PM my time.
Kospi opened down at 178.85 from yesterday's close at 181.85. Kospi quickly regained its ground as foreigners keep buying stocks and prompted local investors to follow suit. North Korean's missile test conducted yesterday had limited impact on the market today as investors feel that is old news. Kospi played around 180-181ish region before sprinting past 182ish towards the end of the day. Kospi ended in positive territory, closed at 182.70.
Hangseng opened down at 17955 and looked set to go down further to continue the downward trend from yesterday. It touched 17864 just after 15 mins of trading before it shot up when the cash market open in Hongkong. It then go up and play between 17900ish-18100ish and was closed at 18039 for 1st session. 2nd session opened at 18105 and Hangseng moved rather flat with upward bias. It touched its intraday high at 18194 before closed flat at 18138.
Kospi opened down at 178.85 from yesterday's close at 181.85. Kospi quickly regained its ground as foreigners keep buying stocks and prompted local investors to follow suit. North Korean's missile test conducted yesterday had limited impact on the market today as investors feel that is old news. Kospi played around 180-181ish region before sprinting past 182ish towards the end of the day. Kospi ended in positive territory, closed at 182.70.
Hangseng opened down at 17955 and looked set to go down further to continue the downward trend from yesterday. It touched 17864 just after 15 mins of trading before it shot up when the cash market open in Hongkong. It then go up and play between 17900ish-18100ish and was closed at 18039 for 1st session. 2nd session opened at 18105 and Hangseng moved rather flat with upward bias. It touched its intraday high at 18194 before closed flat at 18138.
I'M BACK!!!!
Fellow traders, After more than 6 months sitting on the sidelines taking a break from everything and going on holidays, I'm back in the game now. For the past half year, I've seen that the worldwide markets have gone to their lowest points in mid-march and they have also staged a very impressive rally in the past 3 months. Dow Jones Industrial Average reached its lowest point at 6469.95 on 6th March and have also touched its highest point for the year at 8900.48 on 5th June. Between its lowest and highest points, DJIA has rallied 37.6%.
The same thing happened around Asia region. Nikkei have touched its lowest point at 6935 on 9th March and its highest at 10180 on 12th June or 46.8% rally between its lowest and highest points.
Korean Kospi have also experienced the same thing as its regional peers. It touched its lowest point of 129 at 3rd March and its highest point of 183.60 at 12th June or 42.3% rally between its lowest and highest points.
Hongkong Hangseng is the clear winner among the 3 major markets in Asia which I cover in this blog. It reached its lowest point of 11324 at 9th March and its highest point of 19093 at 12th June or 68.6% rally between its lowest and highest points.
In the past 1 month, worldwide stock markets are having their consolidation periods. They're now waiting if the massive rallies are justified. The 3 months rally staged by worldwide markets are caused by good economic data and upbeat news given by economists. Not forgetting that major countries around the world pumped billions of dollar to help revive the failing global economy. It is not unusual for markets to take a breather from long rallies such as this. Right now, investors are waiting to see if Q2 earnings reports by various companies can support the rally. If there are more upbeat forecasts and good earnings reports, Dow Jones may end the year in the positive territory, Nikkei may breach 11,000, Kospi may go beyond 200 and Hangseng may breach its 21,000 mark.
To see more news and follow my daily analysis and predictions, come back to this blog everyday as I will update this blog early morning my time (GMT+7) and if I'm not too lazy, I'll write up daily reviews after market closes.
Cheers traders & Happy Trading
The same thing happened around Asia region. Nikkei have touched its lowest point at 6935 on 9th March and its highest at 10180 on 12th June or 46.8% rally between its lowest and highest points.
Korean Kospi have also experienced the same thing as its regional peers. It touched its lowest point of 129 at 3rd March and its highest point of 183.60 at 12th June or 42.3% rally between its lowest and highest points.
Hongkong Hangseng is the clear winner among the 3 major markets in Asia which I cover in this blog. It reached its lowest point of 11324 at 9th March and its highest point of 19093 at 12th June or 68.6% rally between its lowest and highest points.
In the past 1 month, worldwide stock markets are having their consolidation periods. They're now waiting if the massive rallies are justified. The 3 months rally staged by worldwide markets are caused by good economic data and upbeat news given by economists. Not forgetting that major countries around the world pumped billions of dollar to help revive the failing global economy. It is not unusual for markets to take a breather from long rallies such as this. Right now, investors are waiting to see if Q2 earnings reports by various companies can support the rally. If there are more upbeat forecasts and good earnings reports, Dow Jones may end the year in the positive territory, Nikkei may breach 11,000, Kospi may go beyond 200 and Hangseng may breach its 21,000 mark.
To see more news and follow my daily analysis and predictions, come back to this blog everyday as I will update this blog early morning my time (GMT+7) and if I'm not too lazy, I'll write up daily reviews after market closes.
Cheers traders & Happy Trading
Senin, 24 November 2008
Asian market preview 24/11/2008
US markets ended the turbulent week on a high note on Friday as markets soared on report that president-elect Barrack Obama have chosen his Treasury Secretary. Timothy Geithner, President of New York Fed, have been chosen to combat the US economic crisis. US markets are expected to stay volatile in the coming week with more economic data to come out in a shortened trading week because of Thanksgiving holiday. On Monday, president-elect Barrack Obama may be doing something really important where he will announce his team and may give a psychological boost to investors. He promised that he will create 2.5 million jobs by 2010. The Thanksgiving holiday will be used by markets to gauge the economic activity in the retail sector too. Lastly, unemployment data will be closely watched this week. The Dow ended up by 494.37 pts or 6.55% to 8,046.66, S&P500 shot up 47.57 pts or 6.32% to 800.01 while Nasdaq rose 68.23 pts or 5.18% to 1,384.35.
Asian markets may open higher today following the jolt of confidence in the US over the appointment of Timothy Geithner to become Treasury Secretary for Barrack Obama. Investors may find this as an opportunity to buy up stocks which were beaten down last week. Oil was closed at $49.30 per barrel, gold was closed at $791.80 and JPY was closed at 95.67. Nikkei futures was closed at 7900 in CME compared to the close of 7700 here on Friday. Nikkei will be closed for holiday today.
Kospi may open higher and may continue its rally from Friday today following the US markets boost. Investors may finally find some reason to buy stocks and may build from Friday's rally. Lower oil also put inflationary pressure at rest as oil prices get lower than $50 per barrel. Kospi may find its support at 127ish and its resistance at 137ish today.
Hangseng may open higher and may go further as US markets were boosted on Friday and China's nuclear expansion program. Confidence may drive investors to buy into stocks today and hopefully the rally can last this time. Hangseng may find its support at 12500ish and its resistance at 13600ish today.
Asian markets may open higher today following the jolt of confidence in the US over the appointment of Timothy Geithner to become Treasury Secretary for Barrack Obama. Investors may find this as an opportunity to buy up stocks which were beaten down last week. Oil was closed at $49.30 per barrel, gold was closed at $791.80 and JPY was closed at 95.67. Nikkei futures was closed at 7900 in CME compared to the close of 7700 here on Friday. Nikkei will be closed for holiday today.
Kospi may open higher and may continue its rally from Friday today following the US markets boost. Investors may finally find some reason to buy stocks and may build from Friday's rally. Lower oil also put inflationary pressure at rest as oil prices get lower than $50 per barrel. Kospi may find its support at 127ish and its resistance at 137ish today.
Hangseng may open higher and may go further as US markets were boosted on Friday and China's nuclear expansion program. Confidence may drive investors to buy into stocks today and hopefully the rally can last this time. Hangseng may find its support at 12500ish and its resistance at 13600ish today.
Jumat, 21 November 2008
Asian market preview 21/11/2008
US markets plunged again last night to levels not seen since 1997 for S&P500 and the rest of major markets touched the lows formed in 2002. Financials and energy sector led the tumble in the markets today. Investors feared that the government's financial rescue won't be sufficient to cover banks' losses. Meanwhile, a 7% drop in crude prices hurt energy sector pretty bad last night. Investors are also concerned that the automakers bailout plan have hit a wall as Democratic leaders postponed another proposal by automakers to Dec 2. However, the pullback last night was seen as encouraging by some analysts as the selling volume was heavy last night and that was exactly what they were looking for. Heavy selling came after the markets breached a 5-year technical resistance point and fear took over for investors and they continue on selling. Markets are still looking for a bottom to get the turnaround they needed. Meanwhile, the number of people seeking unemployment benefits rose to 25 year high as shown by government data and a regional manufacturing gauge slumped as economic misery intensified. The Dow ended down by 444.99 pts or 5.56% to 7,552.29, S&P500 tumbled 54.14 pts or 6.71% to 752.44 while Nasdaq fell 70.30 pts or 5.07% to 1,316.12.
Asian markets may fall again today and some may re-test the lows touched in October. Fear and pessimism seem to be gripping the markets now as investors are afraid to make big investments around the region. Global economic outlook seem to be very gloomy now as the US recession deepened. More investors may also dump shares today ahead of the weekend and they want to preserve the leftover cash they have now. Oil prices plunged as investors fear that demands will keep faltering well into the next year. Crude oil was recently traded around $49.40ish per barrel, gold traded around $748.70. Gold rose as investors saw it as an alternative and safer investment during this time. JPY was recently traded around 94.13ish and Nikkei futures was closed at 7350 compared to the close of 7560 here yesterday. Nikkei may trade between 7000ish and 7500ish today.
Kospi may open lower yet again today and may test the October intraday lows today. Nervous investors may dump stocks again today. The losses may be intensified by Posco as its US ADRs fell 9.1% last night in US trading. Foreigners may keep running away from the local market, selling and try to hold cash from whatever stocks left to sell. Kospi may find its support at 115ish and its resistance at 125ish today.
Hangseng may open lower today following another huge selloff in the US which saw markets touched 11-year lows last night. More fear and uncertainties may grip investors today and they may decide to dump stocks. Petrochina may lead the losses as energy prices tumbled following the diminishing global demands. China mainland markets may also play a significant part to determine how deep the market will fall today. Hangseng may find its support at 11300ish and its resistance at 12300ish today.
Asian markets may fall again today and some may re-test the lows touched in October. Fear and pessimism seem to be gripping the markets now as investors are afraid to make big investments around the region. Global economic outlook seem to be very gloomy now as the US recession deepened. More investors may also dump shares today ahead of the weekend and they want to preserve the leftover cash they have now. Oil prices plunged as investors fear that demands will keep faltering well into the next year. Crude oil was recently traded around $49.40ish per barrel, gold traded around $748.70. Gold rose as investors saw it as an alternative and safer investment during this time. JPY was recently traded around 94.13ish and Nikkei futures was closed at 7350 compared to the close of 7560 here yesterday. Nikkei may trade between 7000ish and 7500ish today.
Kospi may open lower yet again today and may test the October intraday lows today. Nervous investors may dump stocks again today. The losses may be intensified by Posco as its US ADRs fell 9.1% last night in US trading. Foreigners may keep running away from the local market, selling and try to hold cash from whatever stocks left to sell. Kospi may find its support at 115ish and its resistance at 125ish today.
Hangseng may open lower today following another huge selloff in the US which saw markets touched 11-year lows last night. More fear and uncertainties may grip investors today and they may decide to dump stocks. Petrochina may lead the losses as energy prices tumbled following the diminishing global demands. China mainland markets may also play a significant part to determine how deep the market will fall today. Hangseng may find its support at 11300ish and its resistance at 12300ish today.
Langganan:
Entri (Atom)
