US markets posted the bigget gain in 5 years overnight after The Fed said it will pump $200 billion into the financial system to ease the strain from the credit crisis. The program is part of a worldwide effort to help struggling banks and mortgage providers. Investors and analysts belive that this plan is a more creative way to help the economy and markets other than the not-so-effective rate cuts. The Dow flew 416.66 pts or 3.55% to 12156.81, S&P500 jumped 47.28 pts or 3.71% to 1320.65 while Nasdaq surged 86.42 pts or 3.98% to 2255.76. With these jumps, markets have come out of their worst levels of the year. However, many analysts believe that this rally might be short-lived as recession concerns still looms above investors' head.
Asian markets may open higher today following the huge rally on Wall St overnight over The Fed's plan to boost up liquidity in the market. Oil prices also rose overnight to new highs and was recently traded around $108.40ish per barrel, gold traded at $973ish and JPY traded at 103.41. Nikkei futures closed at 12980 in CME compared to the close of 12650 here yesterday.
The Kospi may open higher at around 214ish today after The Fed's plan to help banks put some confidence back into the market. Kospi may extend yesterday's rally and investors may come back into the market after series of bad data from the US in the past few sessions. There may be a lot of short-term traders and that may cause volatilities for the market.
The Hangseng may open higher at around 23400ish and may even go beyond 23500ish caused by new found optimism for the market as The Fed plans to boost liquidity. Short term investors may come back into the market and try to get quick profits today and that may cause volatilities to be high for the market today and may be to our advantage as daytraders.
Rabu, 12 Maret 2008
Selasa, 11 Maret 2008
Asian market preview 11/03/2008 (Indonesian)
Pasar2 di AS melanjutkan terjun bebas semalam untuk ditutup di level terendahnya sejak 2006, dipicu oleh jatuhnya saham2 finansial, atas spekulasi bahwa estimasi earnings mungkin agak terlalu tinggi sejak perlambatan ekonomi dan credit loss menyebar. Laporan yg lebih baik dari pemerintah yg menyatakan US wholesale inventaris naik 0.8% di January dan penjualan US wholesale naik 2.7% tidak digubris oleh para investor karena harga minyak naik ke rekor tertinggi baru dan juga setelah Bear Stearns Cos. jatuh atas kekhawatiran bahwa perusahaan tersebut sedang menghadapi kesulitan keuangan. Data2 yg dapat menggerakan market akan keluar hari Kamis untuk retail sales dan Jumat untuk harga2 konsumen. Dow jatuh 153.54 pts atau 1.29% ke 11740.15, S&P500 jatuh 20 pts atau 1.55% ke 1273.37 dan Nasdaq jatuh 43.15 pts atau 1.95% ke 2169.34.
Pasar2 di Asia mungkin akan dibuka jatuh lagi hari ini seiring dengan bertambahnya kekhawatiran tentang resesi di AS. Kekhawatiran atas inflasi setelah harga2 komoditi lompat tiap hari juga mungkin akan berdampak untuk pasar2 di Asia. Harga minyak naik hingga $108.17 dan di trade di kisaran 107.90an per barrel, emas di trade di kisaran $971.60an dan JPY di trade menguat lawan US$ di 101.70. Nikkei futures ditutup di 12440 di CME dibandingkan 12620 disini kemarin.
Kospi mungkin akan dibuka lebih rendah lagi di kisaran 204an. Jika para investor berpikir kondisi ini akan memburuk, Kospi mungkin bahkan akan jatuh dibawah 200 untuk pertama kalinya tahun ini. Beberapa investor mungkin akan mengharapkan rebound setelah Kospi jatuh cukup banyak sejak Jumat dan ini mungkin akan menyebabkan volatilitas yg cukup tinggi di market. Saham2 finansial mungkin akan memimpin jatuhnya pasar dan saham2 komoditi mungkin akan menopang market.
Hangseng mungkin akan jatuh hari ini setelah pasar rally di sesi 2 kemarin ke 24500an. Para analis sudah menyatakan AS sudah dalam resesi sekarang dan kekhawatiran bahwa itu akan menyebar ke seluruh dunia mungkin akan menyebabkan investor untuk kabur dari stock pasar. Untuk jangka panjang, pasar2 Asia seperti Cina dan India mungkin akan menopang regional Asia dan ini akan menolong Hangseng juga. Volatilitas di pasar mungkin masih akan tinggi karena dilema para investor untuk membeli dan menjual dan ini akan memberikan kesempatan untuk kita para daytrader.
Pasar2 di Asia mungkin akan dibuka jatuh lagi hari ini seiring dengan bertambahnya kekhawatiran tentang resesi di AS. Kekhawatiran atas inflasi setelah harga2 komoditi lompat tiap hari juga mungkin akan berdampak untuk pasar2 di Asia. Harga minyak naik hingga $108.17 dan di trade di kisaran 107.90an per barrel, emas di trade di kisaran $971.60an dan JPY di trade menguat lawan US$ di 101.70. Nikkei futures ditutup di 12440 di CME dibandingkan 12620 disini kemarin.
Kospi mungkin akan dibuka lebih rendah lagi di kisaran 204an. Jika para investor berpikir kondisi ini akan memburuk, Kospi mungkin bahkan akan jatuh dibawah 200 untuk pertama kalinya tahun ini. Beberapa investor mungkin akan mengharapkan rebound setelah Kospi jatuh cukup banyak sejak Jumat dan ini mungkin akan menyebabkan volatilitas yg cukup tinggi di market. Saham2 finansial mungkin akan memimpin jatuhnya pasar dan saham2 komoditi mungkin akan menopang market.
Hangseng mungkin akan jatuh hari ini setelah pasar rally di sesi 2 kemarin ke 24500an. Para analis sudah menyatakan AS sudah dalam resesi sekarang dan kekhawatiran bahwa itu akan menyebar ke seluruh dunia mungkin akan menyebabkan investor untuk kabur dari stock pasar. Untuk jangka panjang, pasar2 Asia seperti Cina dan India mungkin akan menopang regional Asia dan ini akan menolong Hangseng juga. Volatilitas di pasar mungkin masih akan tinggi karena dilema para investor untuk membeli dan menjual dan ini akan memberikan kesempatan untuk kita para daytrader.
Asian market preview 11/03/2008
US markets extended drop overnight to close at its lowest levels since 2006, led by the plunge in financial shares, on speculation that earnings estimates will prove to be too high as economy slows and credit losses spread. Better than expected report from the US commerce department that said US wholesale inventories rose 0.8% in January and sales at US wholesalers rose 2.7% were shrugged off by investors as oil rose to another record highs and also after Bear Stearns Cos. tumbled on concern the brokerage was facing financial difficulties. The next market moving data is going to be on Thursday on retail sales and Friday on consumer prices. The Dow fell 153.54 pts or 1.29% to 11740.15, S&P500 fell 20 pts or 1.55% to 1273.37 while Nasdaq fell 43.15 or 1.95% to 2169.34.
Asian markets may open lower yet again today following more worries about the US recession coming out of the world's biggest economy. Inflation worries as commodities prices surges everyday may also have an impact around Asian markets. Crude oil reached as high as $108.17 and was recently traded at 107.90ish per barrel, gold traded lower around $971.60ish and JPY traded stronger VS US$ at 101.70ish. Nikkei futures was closed at 12440 in CME compared to 12620 here yesterday.
The Kospi may start the day lower yet again to around 204ish. Should investors think that the conditions are going to worsen, Kospi may even fall to below 200 for first time this year. Some investors may expect a rebound after Kospi losing quite a lot of points since Friday and this may cause high volatilities in the market.
Hangseng may open lower today after the market rallied last minute yesterday to around 22500ish. Analysts have declared that the US is clearly in recession now and concerns that it will spread worldwide may caused investors to flee to safe haven. In long term, Asian markets such as China and India may support the region and this will help Hangseng market too. Volatilities in the market may still be high today and this will be good for us daytraders.
Asian markets may open lower yet again today following more worries about the US recession coming out of the world's biggest economy. Inflation worries as commodities prices surges everyday may also have an impact around Asian markets. Crude oil reached as high as $108.17 and was recently traded at 107.90ish per barrel, gold traded lower around $971.60ish and JPY traded stronger VS US$ at 101.70ish. Nikkei futures was closed at 12440 in CME compared to 12620 here yesterday.
The Kospi may start the day lower yet again to around 204ish. Should investors think that the conditions are going to worsen, Kospi may even fall to below 200 for first time this year. Some investors may expect a rebound after Kospi losing quite a lot of points since Friday and this may cause high volatilities in the market.
Hangseng may open lower today after the market rallied last minute yesterday to around 22500ish. Analysts have declared that the US is clearly in recession now and concerns that it will spread worldwide may caused investors to flee to safe haven. In long term, Asian markets such as China and India may support the region and this will help Hangseng market too. Volatilities in the market may still be high today and this will be good for us daytraders.
Senin, 10 Maret 2008
Asian market preview 10/03/2008 (Indonesian)
Pasar2 di AS terjun hari Jumat dipicu oleh data pekerjaan setelah pemerintah mengejutkan investor dengan laporan bahwa perusahaan2 melepaskan 63,000 lapangan pekerjaan bulan lalu sedangkan para investor mengharapkan penambahan pekerjaan sebanyak 25,000. Berita ini menambahkan kekhawatiran bahwa ekonomi AS sudah menyerah dan masuk ke resesi. Pasar2 sempat naik dari level intraday terendah mereka setelah The Fed mengatakan bahwa mereka akan menambah dana sebanyak $200 milliar kedalam sistem perbankan mereka untuk membantu krisis kredit. Para analis mengatakan bahwa akan memakan waktu untuk perekonomian AS untuk kembali, meskipun The Fed mengatakan bahwa mereka akan tetap memangkas suku bunga dan mereka tidak akan langsung membalikan pemotongan tersebut. Dow jatuh 146.70 pts atau 1.22% ke 11893.69 yg merupakan harga penutupan terendah sejak October 2006, S&P500 jatuh 10.97 pts atau 0.84% ke 1293.37 yg merupakan harga penutupan terendah sejak Agustus 2006 dan Nasdaq jatuh 8.01 pts atau 0.36% ke 2212.49 yg merupakan harga penutupan terendah sejak September 2006.
Pasar2 di Asia mungkin akan dibuka jatuh hari ini seiring dengan laporan data pekerjaan dari AS dan juga kekhawatiran tentang resesi AS yg makin meningkat. Harga minyak jatuh sedikit dan baru2 ini di trade di kisaran $105.35an per barrel, emas jatuh dan di trade di kisaran $973.70an dan JPY naik lawan US$ dan di trade di level 102.20an. Nikkei futures ditutup di 12630 di CME dibandingkan dengan penutupan 12675 disini hari Jumat.
Kospi mungkin akan dibuka jatuh hari ini dan para eksporter mungkin akan terkena dampak cukup besar karena tujuan ekspor terbesar untuk Korsel dikhawatirkan sudah ada dalam resesi. Kospi mungkin akan jatuh kebawah 205an hari ini jika para investor lokal dan luar memutuskan untuk mengambil uang mereka dari pasar dan menunggu waktu yg lebih baik untuk memasuki pasar lagi.
Hangseng mungkin akan dibuka lebih rendah hari ini dan mungkin akan jatuh ke bawah level 22000 hari ini karena kekhawatiran resesi AS makin meningkat dan para investor mengkhawatirkan bahwa efek ini akan menyebar dan akan memberi dampak buruk untuk Hongkong. Volatilitas market mungkin akan tinggi karena mungkin akan ada beberapa bargain hunter yg akan mengambil kesempatan untuk mengumpulkan saham2 murah.
Pasar2 di Asia mungkin akan dibuka jatuh hari ini seiring dengan laporan data pekerjaan dari AS dan juga kekhawatiran tentang resesi AS yg makin meningkat. Harga minyak jatuh sedikit dan baru2 ini di trade di kisaran $105.35an per barrel, emas jatuh dan di trade di kisaran $973.70an dan JPY naik lawan US$ dan di trade di level 102.20an. Nikkei futures ditutup di 12630 di CME dibandingkan dengan penutupan 12675 disini hari Jumat.
Kospi mungkin akan dibuka jatuh hari ini dan para eksporter mungkin akan terkena dampak cukup besar karena tujuan ekspor terbesar untuk Korsel dikhawatirkan sudah ada dalam resesi. Kospi mungkin akan jatuh kebawah 205an hari ini jika para investor lokal dan luar memutuskan untuk mengambil uang mereka dari pasar dan menunggu waktu yg lebih baik untuk memasuki pasar lagi.
Hangseng mungkin akan dibuka lebih rendah hari ini dan mungkin akan jatuh ke bawah level 22000 hari ini karena kekhawatiran resesi AS makin meningkat dan para investor mengkhawatirkan bahwa efek ini akan menyebar dan akan memberi dampak buruk untuk Hongkong. Volatilitas market mungkin akan tinggi karena mungkin akan ada beberapa bargain hunter yg akan mengambil kesempatan untuk mengumpulkan saham2 murah.
Asian market preview 10/03/2008
US markets tumbled on Friday fueled by US jobs data after government surprised investors with a report that employers eliminated 63,000 jobs last month when investors expected a 25,000 gains in jobs. The news added to the fears that the US economy is succumbing to recession. The markets were closed off its lowest levels after The Fed said that they will add as much as $200 billion to the banking system over the next month to offset the credit crisis. Analysts said that it will take time for economy to recover, although The Fed said that they will keep lowering rate and it will be some time before they start to reverse the cuts. Dow fell 146.70 pts or 1.22% to 11893.69 making it the lowest close since October 2006, S&P500 fell 10.97 pts or 0.84% to 1293.37 making it the lowest close since August 2006 while Nasdaq fell 8.01 pts or 0.36% to 2212.49 making it the lowest close since September 2006.
Asian markets may open lower today following the US jobs report and also the ever increasing fears of US recession. Crude oil fell slightly and was recently traded around $105.35ish per barrel, gold fell and was recently traded around $973.70ish and JPY rose against US$ to trade around 102.20ish. Nikkei futures closed at 12630 in CME compared to the close of 12675 here on Friday.
Kospi may open lower today and exporters may be hit bad as the main export destination for South Korea are feared to be in a recession. The Kospi may fell to below 205ish today should the nervous investors and foreigners decide to take away their capital in these dark times and wait for better times to reenter.
Hangseng may open lower today and may fall to below 22000 today as the fears of US recession is mounting by the day and investors feared that the effect will spread and affect Hongkong a lot. Volatility in the market may be high as there may be some bargain hunters who would take the advantage to collect stocks with cheap prices.
Asian markets may open lower today following the US jobs report and also the ever increasing fears of US recession. Crude oil fell slightly and was recently traded around $105.35ish per barrel, gold fell and was recently traded around $973.70ish and JPY rose against US$ to trade around 102.20ish. Nikkei futures closed at 12630 in CME compared to the close of 12675 here on Friday.
Kospi may open lower today and exporters may be hit bad as the main export destination for South Korea are feared to be in a recession. The Kospi may fell to below 205ish today should the nervous investors and foreigners decide to take away their capital in these dark times and wait for better times to reenter.
Hangseng may open lower today and may fall to below 22000 today as the fears of US recession is mounting by the day and investors feared that the effect will spread and affect Hongkong a lot. Volatility in the market may be high as there may be some bargain hunters who would take the advantage to collect stocks with cheap prices.
Jumat, 07 Maret 2008
Asian market preview 07/03/2008
US markets tumbled yet again last night, caused by a spike in home foreclosure and ailing credit markets added worries about the sagging economy. Retailers also fell overnight after bad sales data recorded in January. Only Wal-mart managed a gain last night after its sales soared 26%. More worries about the credit markets are still there and investors start to think that the Fed can't stop the failing credit market. Investors bet that the Fed will reduce its rate by 0.75% in their next meeting. Dow lost 214.60 pts or 1.75% to 12040.39, S&P500 lost 29.39 pts or 2.20% to 1304.34 while Nasdaq fell 52.31 pts or 2.30% to 2220.50.
Asian markets may open lower today following yesterday's big gains and after US markets tumbled to 18 months low sparked by credit concerns and more housing slump. Oil prices keep rising while gold tumbled on profit taking. Oil was recently traded around $105.60ish, gold traded around $975.80ish while JPY rose against US$ to 102.50ish. Nikkei futures was closed at 12800 in CME compared to the close of 13110 here yesterday. Markets may fall further as investors do not want to risk their money in this rough environment and as investors do some profit taking after yesterday's gain.
Kospi may fall at the open to around 211ish after US markets tumbled overnight. Mining companies may not be able to help market today as gold prices tumbled as well and Losses may be paced if investors do some profit taking today. Exporters may be hurt bad as bad US data means bad for exporters' business and Kospi's main export target is the US.
Hangseng may open lower around to below 23000 at 22700ish. It may fall further to below 22500 and even break the 22000 level if investors get really pessimistic about the current market condition. Profit taking maybe in session today and Hangseng maybe hit very hard if foreign investors decided to take away their money and also if China markets continues their losing streak.
Asian markets may open lower today following yesterday's big gains and after US markets tumbled to 18 months low sparked by credit concerns and more housing slump. Oil prices keep rising while gold tumbled on profit taking. Oil was recently traded around $105.60ish, gold traded around $975.80ish while JPY rose against US$ to 102.50ish. Nikkei futures was closed at 12800 in CME compared to the close of 13110 here yesterday. Markets may fall further as investors do not want to risk their money in this rough environment and as investors do some profit taking after yesterday's gain.
Kospi may fall at the open to around 211ish after US markets tumbled overnight. Mining companies may not be able to help market today as gold prices tumbled as well and Losses may be paced if investors do some profit taking today. Exporters may be hurt bad as bad US data means bad for exporters' business and Kospi's main export target is the US.
Hangseng may open lower around to below 23000 at 22700ish. It may fall further to below 22500 and even break the 22000 level if investors get really pessimistic about the current market condition. Profit taking maybe in session today and Hangseng maybe hit very hard if foreign investors decided to take away their money and also if China markets continues their losing streak.
Kamis, 06 Maret 2008
Asian market preview 06/03/2008 (Indonesian)
Pasar2 di AS ditutup sedikit menguat semalam setelah data yg keluar dari service sector dan produktivitas pekerja tidak terlalu buruk dan itu memberikan sedikit ketenangan tentang kondisi ekonomi di AS. Dow sempat naik sebanyak 120 pts tapi akhirnya turun lagi setelah Fed mengeluarkan buku beige mereka yg menunjukan data ekonomi yg lemah dan juga setelah rencana untuk membantu Ambac tidak memuaskan para investor. Dow naik 41.19 pts atau 0.34% ke 12254.99, S&P500 naik 6.95 pts atau 0.52% ke 1333.70 dan Nasdaq naik 12.53 pts atau 0.55% ke 2272.81. Buku beige the Fed menunjukan 8 dari 12 daerah the Fed menunjukan pelemahan pertumbuhan di aktifitas bisnis dan selebihnya menunjukan pertumbuhan yg lambat atau sedang. Data ini meninggalkan kekhawatiran lebih banyak lagi dalam benak para investor.
Pasar2 di Asia mungkin akan dibuka naik hari ini seiring dengan penutupan yg sediki menguat untuk pasar2 di AS semalam dan juga setelah minyak dan komoditi naik ke harga rekor lagi. Minyak naik setelah AS menunjukan penurunan dalam supply minyak mereka di inventaris mereka dan juga setelah OPEC mengatakan mereka akan membiarkan produksi minyak seperti sekarang. Minyak naik lebih dari 5% dan baru2 ini di trade di kisaran $104.60an per barrel, emas di trade di kisaran $988.50an dan JPY menguat lawan USD dan di trade di kisaran 103.95an. Nikkei futures ditutup di 13010 di CME dibandingkan dengan penutupan 13035 disini kemarin.
Kospi mungkin akan dibuka naik lagi hari ini di kisaran 213an dan mungkin bisa naik lebih banyak jika para investor mengambil kesempatan hari ini untuk masuk. Sektor energi dan pertambangan mungkin bisa memberikan sedikit support untuk rally hari ini. Tetapi, volatilitas market mungkin masih akan tinggi disebabkan para investor yg ingin mengambil profit cepat di waktu2 yg tidak menentu seperti sekarang ini.
Hangseng mungkin dibuka naik di kisaran 23300an dan juga mungkin akan melakukan rebound setelah jatuh untuk 3 hari terakhir. Sektor energi dan pertambangan akan menjadi fokus hari ini dan mungkin akan dapat memberikan sedikit support untuk market. Para investor mungkin akan balik ke pasar dan akan menyebabkan volatilitas yg enak untuk kita para daytrader.
Pasar2 di Asia mungkin akan dibuka naik hari ini seiring dengan penutupan yg sediki menguat untuk pasar2 di AS semalam dan juga setelah minyak dan komoditi naik ke harga rekor lagi. Minyak naik setelah AS menunjukan penurunan dalam supply minyak mereka di inventaris mereka dan juga setelah OPEC mengatakan mereka akan membiarkan produksi minyak seperti sekarang. Minyak naik lebih dari 5% dan baru2 ini di trade di kisaran $104.60an per barrel, emas di trade di kisaran $988.50an dan JPY menguat lawan USD dan di trade di kisaran 103.95an. Nikkei futures ditutup di 13010 di CME dibandingkan dengan penutupan 13035 disini kemarin.
Kospi mungkin akan dibuka naik lagi hari ini di kisaran 213an dan mungkin bisa naik lebih banyak jika para investor mengambil kesempatan hari ini untuk masuk. Sektor energi dan pertambangan mungkin bisa memberikan sedikit support untuk rally hari ini. Tetapi, volatilitas market mungkin masih akan tinggi disebabkan para investor yg ingin mengambil profit cepat di waktu2 yg tidak menentu seperti sekarang ini.
Hangseng mungkin dibuka naik di kisaran 23300an dan juga mungkin akan melakukan rebound setelah jatuh untuk 3 hari terakhir. Sektor energi dan pertambangan akan menjadi fokus hari ini dan mungkin akan dapat memberikan sedikit support untuk market. Para investor mungkin akan balik ke pasar dan akan menyebabkan volatilitas yg enak untuk kita para daytrader.
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