US markets closed slightly higher overnight after a better than expected reading on the service sector and figures on worker productivity calmed fears about the economy. The Dow were up as much as 120 points but it gave up most of its gains after the Fed released its beige book where it showed a weak economic data and also after the plan to bail out Ambac fail to amuse investors. Dow gained 41.19 pts or 0.34% to 12254.99, S&P500 rose 6.95 pts or 0.52% while Nasdaq rose 12.53 pts or 0.55% to 2272.81. The Fed's beige book saw eight of the dozen Fed district softening or weaking growth in business activity while others showed slow or modest growth. This data left more concerns and worries regarding the economy health for investors.
Asian markets may open higher today following the slightly stronger close for the US markets and also after oil and commodity prices rose to record highs. Oil rose after the US showed an unexpected decline in the inventory and also after OPEC said that it will leave its output unchanged. Oil surged more than 5% and was recently traded around $104.60ish per barrel, gold rose and was recently traded around $988.50ish while USD got weaker against JPY and was traded around 103.95ish. Nikkei futures was closed at 13010 in CME compared to the close of 13035 here yesterday.
Kospi may opened higher yet again today around 213ish and may rose further if investors would like to see this as a buying opportunity and also energy and commodity companies may be able to give some support to the rally. Volatility may be high as investors would try to get some hit and run profit in these uncertain times.
Hangseng may open higher at 23300 and may get a nice rebound today after losing grounds in the past 3 days. Energy and commodity sector may boost the stocks today and exporter may get better today. Investors may go back into stock markets and get a chance to buy while market is still not as strong. Volatility may be high with investors trying to get quick profits today.
Kamis, 06 Maret 2008
Rabu, 05 Maret 2008
Asian market preview 05/03/2008 (Indonesian)
Pasar2 di AS ditutup turun semalam tapi sempat naik dari titik harian terparah. Sektor finansial dan komoditi memimpin turunnya harga2 saham setelah Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke meminta bank untuk memberikan pinjaman lebih banyak lagi dan harga minyak dan emas jatuh dari rekor. Sebelumnya, Bernanke memberi peringatan di Florida bahwa pelemahan di sektor real estate mungkin akan tambah parah dan itu membuat market2 terjun dengan Dow turun hingga 226 pts. Saham2 rebound di jam2 terakhir dengan adanya sentimen bargain hunter dan juga setelah CNBC menyatakan bahwa akan ada deal untuk menolong Ambac Inc. Citigroup, jatuh ke titik terendah dalam 9 tahun terakhir memimpin sektor finansial turun sedangkan ConocoPhilips dan Freeport-McMoran memimpin jatuhnya sektor energi dan pertambangan. Dow jatuh 45.10 pts atau 0.37% ke 12213.80, S&P500 jatuh 4.59 pts atau 0.34% ke 1326.75 dan Nasdaq naik 1.68 pts atau 0.07% ke 2260.28.
Pasar2 di Asia mungkin akan dibuka sedikit flat hari ini dengan penurunan yg tidak terlalu banyak di Wall St. Market2 mungkin akan melakukan sedikit rebound hari ini setelah turun 2 hari berturut2. Energi dan pertambangan mungkin akan jatuh hari ini tapi para bargain hunter mungkin akan datang dan membeli saham2 murah untuk di koleksi. Minyak mentah jatuh lebih dari $3 dan baru2 ini di trade di $99.20an, emas di trade di $964an dan JPY di trade di kisaran 103.40an. Nikkei futures ditutup di 12915 di CME, dibandingkan dengan penutupan 12980 di Osaka dan 12860 di Singapore kemarin.
Kospi mungkin akan dibuka lebih rendah hari ini di kisaran 211an seiring dengan jatuhnya pasar2 di AS disebabkan oleh makin banyaknya kekhawatiran mengenai subprime mortgage crisis yg terus keluar dari sektor perbankan. Para bargain hunter mungkin akan coba masuk hari ini dan ini mungkin akan membuat Kospi menjadi lebih volatile.
Hangseng mungkin akan dibuka naik sedikit di kisaran 23050an dan mungkin akan rally jika saham2 yg dinilai sudah terlalu rendah mulai dibeli lagi hari ini. Sektor energi dan komoditi mungkin akan jatuh hari ini karena harga minyak jatuh semalam di AS. Volatilitas market mungkin akan tinggi hari ini dan itu akan bagus untuk kita para daytrader.
Pasar2 di Asia mungkin akan dibuka sedikit flat hari ini dengan penurunan yg tidak terlalu banyak di Wall St. Market2 mungkin akan melakukan sedikit rebound hari ini setelah turun 2 hari berturut2. Energi dan pertambangan mungkin akan jatuh hari ini tapi para bargain hunter mungkin akan datang dan membeli saham2 murah untuk di koleksi. Minyak mentah jatuh lebih dari $3 dan baru2 ini di trade di $99.20an, emas di trade di $964an dan JPY di trade di kisaran 103.40an. Nikkei futures ditutup di 12915 di CME, dibandingkan dengan penutupan 12980 di Osaka dan 12860 di Singapore kemarin.
Kospi mungkin akan dibuka lebih rendah hari ini di kisaran 211an seiring dengan jatuhnya pasar2 di AS disebabkan oleh makin banyaknya kekhawatiran mengenai subprime mortgage crisis yg terus keluar dari sektor perbankan. Para bargain hunter mungkin akan coba masuk hari ini dan ini mungkin akan membuat Kospi menjadi lebih volatile.
Hangseng mungkin akan dibuka naik sedikit di kisaran 23050an dan mungkin akan rally jika saham2 yg dinilai sudah terlalu rendah mulai dibeli lagi hari ini. Sektor energi dan komoditi mungkin akan jatuh hari ini karena harga minyak jatuh semalam di AS. Volatilitas market mungkin akan tinggi hari ini dan itu akan bagus untuk kita para daytrader.
Asian market preview 05/03/2008
US markets ended the session lower overnight but it managed to get off its lowest points of the day. Financial and commodity shares led the drop after Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke urged banks to forgive more late loans and oil and gold prices dropped from records. Earlier, Bernanke warned in a Florida speech that housing slump may deepen and that sent the stocks plunging with Dow went as low as -226 points. Stocks rebounded in the last hour however, on bargain hunting and also after CNBC said that a deal to bail out bond insurer Ambac Inc. is progressing. Citigroup, falling to 9-year low led the financial shares lower while ConocoPhilips and Freeport-McMoran led a retreat in energy and mining shares. Dow fell 45.10 pts or 0.37% to 12213.80, S&P500 fell 4.59 pts or 0.34% to 1326.75 while Nasdaq rose 1.68 pts or 0.07% to 2260.28.
Asian markets may open rather flat today following the slight decline in Wall St. Markets may try to get a rebound today after getting beaten quite badly for 2 straight days. Energy and mining shares may have a retreat today but bargain hunters may come in and look for cheap stocks to collect. Crude oil fell more than $3 and was recently traded around $99.20ish, gold was recently traded around $964ish and JPY traded around 103.40ish. Nikkei futures was closed at 12915 in CME compared to the close of 12980 in Osaka and 12860 in Singapore yesterday.
Kospi may open lower today around 211ish following the tumble in US markets as more concerns regarding the subprime mortgage crisis keep coming out of the banks. Bargain hunters may dip in today though and this may cause good volatility for the market and may prove useful to us.
Hangseng may open higher today around 23050ish and may even go higher still if bargain hunters decide to come in and start collecting cheap shares. Oil and commodity shares may take a breather today as prices drop overnight in the US. Volatility in the market maybe high today and it's good for us daytraders.
Asian markets may open rather flat today following the slight decline in Wall St. Markets may try to get a rebound today after getting beaten quite badly for 2 straight days. Energy and mining shares may have a retreat today but bargain hunters may come in and look for cheap stocks to collect. Crude oil fell more than $3 and was recently traded around $99.20ish, gold was recently traded around $964ish and JPY traded around 103.40ish. Nikkei futures was closed at 12915 in CME compared to the close of 12980 in Osaka and 12860 in Singapore yesterday.
Kospi may open lower today around 211ish following the tumble in US markets as more concerns regarding the subprime mortgage crisis keep coming out of the banks. Bargain hunters may dip in today though and this may cause good volatility for the market and may prove useful to us.
Hangseng may open higher today around 23050ish and may even go higher still if bargain hunters decide to come in and start collecting cheap shares. Oil and commodity shares may take a breather today as prices drop overnight in the US. Volatility in the market maybe high today and it's good for us daytraders.
Selasa, 04 Maret 2008
Asian market preview 04/03/2008 (Indonesian)
Pasar2 di AS ditutup flat semalam dengan adanya data2 ekonomi yg lemah dalam ISM manufacturing index dan juga pengeluaran untuk konstruksi jatuh ke titik terendah sejak 1994. Data2 ini ternyata tidak selemah yg diperkirakan pertama dan membuat market melakukan sedikit rebound dari nilai terendah harian mereka. Market2 bergerak dengan volatilitas tinggi semalam disebabkan oleh harga2 minyak dan emas naik ke harga rekor tertinggi. ISM manufacturing jatuh ke 48.3 di February dan pengeluaran konstruksi jatuh 1.7% di January dan ini memberikan sedikit optimisme untuk para investor karena jatuhnya tidak separah yg diperkirakan pertama. Dow jatuh sedikit 7.49 pts atau 0.06% ke 12258.90, S&P500 naik 0.71 pts atau 0.05% ke 1331.34 sedangkan Nasdaq, menyentuh titik terendah dalam 15 bulan, jatuh 12.88 pts atau 0.57% ke 2258.60.
Pasar2 di Asia mungkin akan dibuka flat tapi mungkin akan naik hari ini setelah penjualan besar yang terjadi kemarin mungkin akan membuat para investor memburu saham2 murah. Harga minyak naik ke rekor $94an dan emas naik ke rekor $992an. Minyak baru2 ini di trade di $92.40an per barrel, emas di trade di kisaran $983.85an dan JPY di trade di kisaran 103.40an. Nikkei futures ditutup di CME di angka 13100 dibandingkan penutupan 12930 disini kemarin.
Kospi mungkin akan dibuka flat dengan kecenderungan menguat dengan adanya sedikit optimisme yg kembali ke market di AS semalam. Para investor mungkin melihat adanya kesempatan untuk masuk ke pasar dan mencetak profit cepat hari ini setelah adanya penjualan besar2an di pasar global kemarin. Perusahaan2 minyak dan komoditi mungkin akan mnopang sektor2 lemah seperti finansial hari ini.
Hangseng mungkin akan dibuka menguat hari ini setelah pasar2 di AS menutup sesi perdagangan dengan lebih banyaknya saham yg naik dibandingkan yg turun. Hangseng mungkin akan mengikuti trend pasar2 lainnya dengan minyak dan komoditi sektor memimpin kenaikan hari ini. Akan tetapi, komentar dari Warren Buffet semalam yang mengatakan sebenarnya AS sudah masuk dalam tahap resesi mungkin akan membuat market untuk menjadi volatile dan itu akan bagus untuk kita para daytrader.
Pasar2 di Asia mungkin akan dibuka flat tapi mungkin akan naik hari ini setelah penjualan besar yang terjadi kemarin mungkin akan membuat para investor memburu saham2 murah. Harga minyak naik ke rekor $94an dan emas naik ke rekor $992an. Minyak baru2 ini di trade di $92.40an per barrel, emas di trade di kisaran $983.85an dan JPY di trade di kisaran 103.40an. Nikkei futures ditutup di CME di angka 13100 dibandingkan penutupan 12930 disini kemarin.
Kospi mungkin akan dibuka flat dengan kecenderungan menguat dengan adanya sedikit optimisme yg kembali ke market di AS semalam. Para investor mungkin melihat adanya kesempatan untuk masuk ke pasar dan mencetak profit cepat hari ini setelah adanya penjualan besar2an di pasar global kemarin. Perusahaan2 minyak dan komoditi mungkin akan mnopang sektor2 lemah seperti finansial hari ini.
Hangseng mungkin akan dibuka menguat hari ini setelah pasar2 di AS menutup sesi perdagangan dengan lebih banyaknya saham yg naik dibandingkan yg turun. Hangseng mungkin akan mengikuti trend pasar2 lainnya dengan minyak dan komoditi sektor memimpin kenaikan hari ini. Akan tetapi, komentar dari Warren Buffet semalam yang mengatakan sebenarnya AS sudah masuk dalam tahap resesi mungkin akan membuat market untuk menjadi volatile dan itu akan bagus untuk kita para daytrader.
Asian market preview 04/03/2008
US markets ended flat overnight with more weak economic data in ISM manufacturing index and construction spending fell to its lowest since 1994. However, the data came in not as weak as expected and that caused the markets to rebound from its lowest. Markets moved in a very volatile manner with oil and metal prices soared to record highs, supporting the other declining sectors. There may be some optimism in the markets with the weak economic data was not as weak as expected; ISM manufacturing declined to 48.3 in February while construction spending fell 1.7% in January. The Dow ended flat, dropping 7.49 pts or 0.06% to 12258.90, S&P500 gained 0.71 pts or 0.05% to 1331.34 while Nasdaq, touching its lows in 15 months, declined 12.88 pts or 0.57% to 2258.60.
Asian markets may open flat but it may rise today after a huge selloff yesterday may prompt investors to hunt for bargain stocks. Oil rose to a record of $94ish while gold rose to as high as $992ish. Oil was recently traded around $92.40ish, gold traded around $98.40ish. JPY traded around 103.30ish and Nikkei futures closed at 13100 in CME compared to the close of 12930 here yesterday.
Kospi may open flat with an upside bias today with a little bit optimism came back into the markets in the US overnight. Investors may see an opportunity to go into stocks and make quick profits today after a huge selloff in the global markets yesterday. Oil and commodities related companies maybe called into action supporting weak financial sectors.
Hangseng may open higher today after US markets finished with more advances than decliners. It may follow other markets with oil and commodities sectors leading the advance today. However, Warren Buffet's comments last night; noting that realistically the US is already in a recession may cause the markets to be volatile today and that may prove useful for us daytraders.
Asian markets may open flat but it may rise today after a huge selloff yesterday may prompt investors to hunt for bargain stocks. Oil rose to a record of $94ish while gold rose to as high as $992ish. Oil was recently traded around $92.40ish, gold traded around $98.40ish. JPY traded around 103.30ish and Nikkei futures closed at 13100 in CME compared to the close of 12930 here yesterday.
Kospi may open flat with an upside bias today with a little bit optimism came back into the markets in the US overnight. Investors may see an opportunity to go into stocks and make quick profits today after a huge selloff in the global markets yesterday. Oil and commodities related companies maybe called into action supporting weak financial sectors.
Hangseng may open higher today after US markets finished with more advances than decliners. It may follow other markets with oil and commodities sectors leading the advance today. However, Warren Buffet's comments last night; noting that realistically the US is already in a recession may cause the markets to be volatile today and that may prove useful for us daytraders.
Senin, 03 Maret 2008
Asian market preview 03/03/2008 (Indonesian)
Pasar2 di AS melanjutkan penurunan bulanan mereka minggu lalu setelah menutup minggu lalu dibawah, menandakan penurunan selama 4 bulan berturut2. Data2 ekonomi yg lemah seperti spekulasi tentang peningkatan pengangguran dan penurunan manufacturing mendorong investor untuk beranggapan bahwa AS sudah benar2 diambang resesi. Peningkatan loss untuk bank2 juga menambah kekhawatiran para investor. Dengan adanya faktor2 ini, para investor menjadi sangat khawatir menjelang akhir minggu lalu setelah market naik 3 hari berturut2 di awal minggu. AIG jeblok terdalam pada hari Jumat setelah melaporkan loss yg terbesar yg disebabkan oleh subprime-mortgage market collapse. UBS menyatakan bahwa loss bank2 mungkin akan mencapai $600 milliar. Dow jatuh 315.79 pts atau 2.51% hari Jumat ke 12266.39, S&P500 jatuh 37.05 pts atau 2.71% ke 1330.63 sedangkan Nasdaq jatuh 60.09 pts atau 2.58% ke 2771.48.
Pasar2 di Asia mungkin akan dibuka jauh dibawah seiring dengan jebloknya pasar2 di AS hari Jumat dan juga setelah market menyentuh harga rekor tertinggi yg baru di $103.05 per barrel. Kondisi ekonomi yg mengkhawatirkan mungkin akan mendorong pasar2 di Asia untuk jatuh lebih dalam hari ini dan jika tidak ada berita2 positif dari masing2 negara, pasar2 di kawasan Asia dapat mengalami perjalanan yg cukup buruk untuk hari pertama di minggu ini. Minyak mentah terakhir di trade di $101.80an per barrel, emas di $973.70an dan JPY di trade di kisaran 103.30an. Nikkei ditutup di 13290 di CME, lebih rendah dibanding penutupan 13450 disini hari Jumat.
Kospi mungkin akan dibuka dibawah di kisaran 213an dan mungkin akan jatuh lebih dalam lagi jika para investor asing memilih untuk keluar dari Kospi dan menunggu untuk waktu yg lebih baik untuk masuk kembali. Dengan pelemahan hingga tidak adanya pertumbuhan ekonomi di AS, mungkin market2 di Asia akan terkena dampak yg cukup signifikan meskipun pasar2 di Asia dibuktikan dapat menahan resesi di AS.
Hangseng mungkin akan dibuka dibawah 24000 hari ini di kisaran 23800an seiring dengan jatuhnya pasar2 di AS hari Jumat lalu. Hangseng bahkan mungkin jatuh ke bawah 23500an jika para investor memilih untuk lari sekarang dan kembali lagi nanti. Perusahaan2 energi juga mungkin akan jatuh dengan minyak sempat turun kebawah dari harga tertinggi dia dan eksportir juga mungkin akan terkena dampak dengan pelemahan AS$ di seluruh dunia. Volatilitas market mungkin masih akan tinggi di waktu seperti sekarang dan itu dapat membantu kita para daytrader untuk mendapatkan profit.
Pasar2 di Asia mungkin akan dibuka jauh dibawah seiring dengan jebloknya pasar2 di AS hari Jumat dan juga setelah market menyentuh harga rekor tertinggi yg baru di $103.05 per barrel. Kondisi ekonomi yg mengkhawatirkan mungkin akan mendorong pasar2 di Asia untuk jatuh lebih dalam hari ini dan jika tidak ada berita2 positif dari masing2 negara, pasar2 di kawasan Asia dapat mengalami perjalanan yg cukup buruk untuk hari pertama di minggu ini. Minyak mentah terakhir di trade di $101.80an per barrel, emas di $973.70an dan JPY di trade di kisaran 103.30an. Nikkei ditutup di 13290 di CME, lebih rendah dibanding penutupan 13450 disini hari Jumat.
Kospi mungkin akan dibuka dibawah di kisaran 213an dan mungkin akan jatuh lebih dalam lagi jika para investor asing memilih untuk keluar dari Kospi dan menunggu untuk waktu yg lebih baik untuk masuk kembali. Dengan pelemahan hingga tidak adanya pertumbuhan ekonomi di AS, mungkin market2 di Asia akan terkena dampak yg cukup signifikan meskipun pasar2 di Asia dibuktikan dapat menahan resesi di AS.
Hangseng mungkin akan dibuka dibawah 24000 hari ini di kisaran 23800an seiring dengan jatuhnya pasar2 di AS hari Jumat lalu. Hangseng bahkan mungkin jatuh ke bawah 23500an jika para investor memilih untuk lari sekarang dan kembali lagi nanti. Perusahaan2 energi juga mungkin akan jatuh dengan minyak sempat turun kebawah dari harga tertinggi dia dan eksportir juga mungkin akan terkena dampak dengan pelemahan AS$ di seluruh dunia. Volatilitas market mungkin masih akan tinggi di waktu seperti sekarang dan itu dapat membantu kita para daytrader untuk mendapatkan profit.
Minggu, 02 Maret 2008
Asian market preview 03/03/2008
US markets extended their monthly loss last week after ending the week lower, marking a 4 straight month of declines. Weak economic data such as estimation of increased losses at banks and speculation that rising unemployment and lower manufacturing are pushing the economy into recession. These concerns have made investors extremely nervous towards the end of last week after rising for the first 3 days of the week. AIG retreated the most on Friday after reporting its biggest loss due to writedowns from subprime-mortgage market's collapse. UBS mentioned that bank losses may reach $600 billion. Dow lost 315.79 pts or 2.51% on Friday to 12266.39, S&P500 fell 37.05 pts or 2.71% to 1330.63 while Nasdaq shed 60.09 pts or 2.58% to 2271.48.
Asian markets may open lower following the US markets' tumbled on Friday and after oil reached its new intraday high at $103.05 per barrel. The worrying economic conditions may push the asian markets further lower today and without positive news from each countries, markets in the Asian region may fall quite deep in the 1st trading day of the week. Crude oil was traded recently around $101.80ish per barrel, gold was traded around $973.70ish and JPY traded around 103.30ish. Nikkei was closed at 13290 in CME, lower than the close of 13450 here on Friday.
The Kospi may open lower around 213ish and may fall further if foreign investors decided to take off from the Korean market and wait for better times to get into position again. With weak to no growth in US' economy, it is possible that Asian markets may get a certain level of impact although, asian markets are proved to be strong enough to withstand US' economic recession.
Hangseng may open lower around 23800ish following Friday's US markets tumble and may even fall lower to below 23500ish should investors decided to run away now and get in later on. Energy companies may fall too with oil falling a bit and exporters may be hurt with the weaker US$ worldwide. Markets volatilities may still be high in these uncertain times and that could help us daytraders in getting our profit.
Asian markets may open lower following the US markets' tumbled on Friday and after oil reached its new intraday high at $103.05 per barrel. The worrying economic conditions may push the asian markets further lower today and without positive news from each countries, markets in the Asian region may fall quite deep in the 1st trading day of the week. Crude oil was traded recently around $101.80ish per barrel, gold was traded around $973.70ish and JPY traded around 103.30ish. Nikkei was closed at 13290 in CME, lower than the close of 13450 here on Friday.
The Kospi may open lower around 213ish and may fall further if foreign investors decided to take off from the Korean market and wait for better times to get into position again. With weak to no growth in US' economy, it is possible that Asian markets may get a certain level of impact although, asian markets are proved to be strong enough to withstand US' economic recession.
Hangseng may open lower around 23800ish following Friday's US markets tumble and may even fall lower to below 23500ish should investors decided to run away now and get in later on. Energy companies may fall too with oil falling a bit and exporters may be hurt with the weaker US$ worldwide. Markets volatilities may still be high in these uncertain times and that could help us daytraders in getting our profit.
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